Current forecasts from major models position a daytime maximum near 30°C as the most likely outcome for Munich on August 12, with ensemble means clustering there and spreads of roughly 1–2°C reflecting minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and insolation. A stable high-pressure ridge supports clear skies and gradual warming, while any subtle shifts in the steering flow could allow 29°C or 31°C scenarios. Recent model updates through August 10 show consistent guidance without major revisions, aligning trader consensus around these central buckets as resolution approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on August 12?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 12?
30°C 47%
31°C 28%
29°C 16%
32°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
47%
31°C
28%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 47%
31°C 28%
29°C 16%
32°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
26°C or below
$178 KL.
1%
27°C
$212 KL.
1%
28°C
$165 KL.
4%
29°C
$1,122 KL.
16%
30°C
$962 KL.
47%
31°C
$512 KL.
28%
32°C
$264 KL.
10%
33°C
$253 KL.
2%
34°C
$150 KL.
<1%
35°C
$156 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$215 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models position a daytime maximum near 30°C as the most likely outcome for Munich on August 12, with ensemble means clustering there and spreads of roughly 1–2°C reflecting minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and insolation. A stable high-pressure ridge supports clear skies and gradual warming, while any subtle shifts in the steering flow could allow 29°C or 31°C scenarios. Recent model updates through August 10 show consistent guidance without major revisions, aligning trader consensus around these central buckets as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,189Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models position a daytime maximum near 30°C as the most likely outcome for Munich on August 12, with ensemble means clustering there and spreads of roughly 1–2°C reflecting minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and insolation. A stable high-pressure ridge supports clear skies and gradual warming, while any subtle shifts in the steering flow could allow 29°C or 31°C scenarios. Recent model updates through August 10 show consistent guidance without major revisions, aligning trader consensus around these central buckets as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,189Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from major models position a daytime maximum near 30°C as the most likely outcome for Munich on August 12, with ensemble means clustering there and spreads of roughly 1–2°C reflecting minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and insolation. A stable high-pressure ridge supports clear skies and gradual warming, while any subtle shifts in the steering flow could allow 29°C or 31°C scenarios. Recent model updates through August 10 show consistent guidance without major revisions, aligning trader consensus around these central buckets as resolution approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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