Recent India Meteorological Department guidance projects a 35°C maximum for Lucknow on September 19 amid partly cloudy skies and monsoon withdrawal signals, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–33°C due to ensemble forecast spreads. Persistent high humidity near 70–80%, variable northwest winds, and afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce cooling via cloud shading and localized rain, potentially suppressing peaks below official maxima. Clearer morning intervals could still permit brief rises toward 33°C if convection holds off, while denser cover or earlier showers favor the 31°C band. Updated model runs and IMD nowcasts ahead of peak heating remain the key near-term catalysts for any odds shift.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 19?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 19?
32°C 40%
31°C 28%
33°C 20%
30°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
12%
31°C
28%
32°C
40%
33°C
20%
34°C
6%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 40%
31°C 28%
33°C 20%
30°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
26°C or below
$261 KL.
<1%
27°C
$104 KL.
<1%
28°C
$111 KL.
<1%
29°C
$41 KL.
2%
30°C
$941 KL.
12%
31°C
$614 KL.
28%
32°C
$577 KL.
40%
33°C
$680 KL.
20%
34°C
$275 KL.
6%
35°C
$200 KL.
3%
36°C or higher
$212 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department guidance projects a 35°C maximum for Lucknow on September 19 amid partly cloudy skies and monsoon withdrawal signals, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–33°C due to ensemble forecast spreads. Persistent high humidity near 70–80%, variable northwest winds, and afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce cooling via cloud shading and localized rain, potentially suppressing peaks below official maxima. Clearer morning intervals could still permit brief rises toward 33°C if convection holds off, while denser cover or earlier showers favor the 31°C band. Updated model runs and IMD nowcasts ahead of peak heating remain the key near-term catalysts for any odds shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,829Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department guidance projects a 35°C maximum for Lucknow on September 19 amid partly cloudy skies and monsoon withdrawal signals, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–33°C due to ensemble forecast spreads. Persistent high humidity near 70–80%, variable northwest winds, and afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce cooling via cloud shading and localized rain, potentially suppressing peaks below official maxima. Clearer morning intervals could still permit brief rises toward 33°C if convection holds off, while denser cover or earlier showers favor the 31°C band. Updated model runs and IMD nowcasts ahead of peak heating remain the key near-term catalysts for any odds shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,829Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department guidance projects a 35°C maximum for Lucknow on September 19 amid partly cloudy skies and monsoon withdrawal signals, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–33°C due to ensemble forecast spreads. Persistent high humidity near 70–80%, variable northwest winds, and afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce cooling via cloud shading and localized rain, potentially suppressing peaks below official maxima. Clearer morning intervals could still permit brief rises toward 33°C if convection holds off, while denser cover or earlier showers favor the 31°C band. Updated model runs and IMD nowcasts ahead of peak heating remain the key near-term catalysts for any odds shift.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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