Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate partly cloudy skies with a chance of thundershowers over Lucknow on September 12, limiting peak solar heating amid lingering southwest monsoon moisture. High humidity near 70-85% and easterly winds promote convective cloud development that caps daytime maxima, consistent with recent observations of 33-35°C highs tempered by rainfall. This positions 32-34°C as the dominant market-implied range, reflecting ensemble consensus on modest instability rather than clear-sky extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours could shift probabilities if steering patterns reduce cloud cover or enhance rain.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 12?
33°C 43%
32°C 28%
34°C 20%
31°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
28%
33°C
43%
34°C
20%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
3%
33°C 43%
32°C 28%
34°C 20%
31°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
28%
33°C
43%
34°C
20%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate partly cloudy skies with a chance of thundershowers over Lucknow on September 12, limiting peak solar heating amid lingering southwest monsoon moisture. High humidity near 70-85% and easterly winds promote convective cloud development that caps daytime maxima, consistent with recent observations of 33-35°C highs tempered by rainfall. This positions 32-34°C as the dominant market-implied range, reflecting ensemble consensus on modest instability rather than clear-sky extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours could shift probabilities if steering patterns reduce cloud cover or enhance rain.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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