Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 78–79°F in Los Angeles today, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for a strong marine layer and persistent onshore flow that limits daytime heating along the coast. This typical summer pattern advects cooler Pacific air inland, with sea-breeze circulation and low-level stratus keeping maximum temperatures several degrees below the mid-August climatological average near 84°F. Recent model runs show little change in the thermal profile through the afternoon, supporting the 55.5% implied probability for the narrow 78–79°F bin while capping upside risk in the low 80s. Official downtown observations later today will resolve the market against these thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 18?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 18?
78-79°F 56%
76-77°F 21%
80-81°F 19%
82-83°F 4%
MỚI
$13,027 KL.
MỚI
$13,027 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
56%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 56%
76-77°F 21%
80-81°F 19%
82-83°F 4%
MỚI
$13,027 KL.
MỚI
$13,027 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
71°F or below
$207 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$314 KL.
<1%
74-75°F
$867 KL.
1%
76-77°F
$1,374 KL.
21%
78-79°F
$3,452 KL.
56%
80-81°F
$4,078 KL.
19%
82-83°F
$843 KL.
4%
84-85°F
$537 KL.
1%
86-87°F
$551 KL.
1%
88-89°F
$488 KL.
<1%
90°F or higher
$320 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 78–79°F in Los Angeles today, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for a strong marine layer and persistent onshore flow that limits daytime heating along the coast. This typical summer pattern advects cooler Pacific air inland, with sea-breeze circulation and low-level stratus keeping maximum temperatures several degrees below the mid-August climatological average near 84°F. Recent model runs show little change in the thermal profile through the afternoon, supporting the 55.5% implied probability for the narrow 78–79°F bin while capping upside risk in the low 80s. Official downtown observations later today will resolve the market against these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$13,027Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 78–79°F in Los Angeles today, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for a strong marine layer and persistent onshore flow that limits daytime heating along the coast. This typical summer pattern advects cooler Pacific air inland, with sea-breeze circulation and low-level stratus keeping maximum temperatures several degrees below the mid-August climatological average near 84°F. Recent model runs show little change in the thermal profile through the afternoon, supporting the 55.5% implied probability for the narrow 78–79°F bin while capping upside risk in the low 80s. Official downtown observations later today will resolve the market against these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$13,027Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 78–79°F in Los Angeles today, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for a strong marine layer and persistent onshore flow that limits daytime heating along the coast. This typical summer pattern advects cooler Pacific air inland, with sea-breeze circulation and low-level stratus keeping maximum temperatures several degrees below the mid-August climatological average near 84°F. Recent model runs show little change in the thermal profile through the afternoon, supporting the 55.5% implied probability for the narrow 78–79°F bin while capping upside risk in the low 80s. Official downtown observations later today will resolve the market against these thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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