Recent Met Office guidance forecasting a daytime maximum near 21°C for London on August 21, 2026, under high pressure with modest Atlantic flow and variable cloud cover, anchors trader sentiment toward the 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Ensemble runs from the Met Office and ECMWF show afternoon peaks clustered between 20–23°C, with limited potential for stronger warming due to cooling sea breezes and partial cloud. This consensus aligns closely with the market-implied probabilities, where 21°C leads at 40% and 22°C follows at 24%, reflecting calibrated assessment of model spread and historical August variability around the 22°C seasonal average. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on August 21?
Highest temperature in London on August 21?
21°C 40%
22°C 24%
20°C 22%
23°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
22%
21°C
40%
22°C
24%
23°C
7%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 40%
22°C 24%
20°C 22%
23°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
17°C or below
$656 KL.
1%
18°C
$76 KL.
2%
19°C
$85 KL.
6%
20°C
$109 KL.
22%
21°C
$563 KL.
40%
22°C
$195 KL.
24%
23°C
$443 KL.
7%
24°C
$114 KL.
3%
25°C
$54 KL.
<1%
26°C
$164 KL.
<1%
27°C or higher
$444 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance forecasting a daytime maximum near 21°C for London on August 21, 2026, under high pressure with modest Atlantic flow and variable cloud cover, anchors trader sentiment toward the 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Ensemble runs from the Met Office and ECMWF show afternoon peaks clustered between 20–23°C, with limited potential for stronger warming due to cooling sea breezes and partial cloud. This consensus aligns closely with the market-implied probabilities, where 21°C leads at 40% and 22°C follows at 24%, reflecting calibrated assessment of model spread and historical August variability around the 22°C seasonal average. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,901Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance forecasting a daytime maximum near 21°C for London on August 21, 2026, under high pressure with modest Atlantic flow and variable cloud cover, anchors trader sentiment toward the 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Ensemble runs from the Met Office and ECMWF show afternoon peaks clustered between 20–23°C, with limited potential for stronger warming due to cooling sea breezes and partial cloud. This consensus aligns closely with the market-implied probabilities, where 21°C leads at 40% and 22°C follows at 24%, reflecting calibrated assessment of model spread and historical August variability around the 22°C seasonal average. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,901Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance forecasting a daytime maximum near 21°C for London on August 21, 2026, under high pressure with modest Atlantic flow and variable cloud cover, anchors trader sentiment toward the 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Ensemble runs from the Met Office and ECMWF show afternoon peaks clustered between 20–23°C, with limited potential for stronger warming due to cooling sea breezes and partial cloud. This consensus aligns closely with the market-implied probabilities, where 21°C leads at 40% and 22°C follows at 24%, reflecting calibrated assessment of model spread and historical August variability around the 22°C seasonal average. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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