Recent cold fronts tracking south of the country have kept Cape Town cooler than seasonal norms, with South African Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model runs favoring a daytime maximum near 18–20 °C for August 21 amid moderate southerly winds and variable cloud cover. These conditions limit surface heating while the Benguela Current maintains marine-layer influence. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 21–23 °C because small shifts in front timing or wind speed could add 1–3 °C of warming, and updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread before resolution. Historical August highs average 17–18 °C, underscoring the sensitivity of the outcome to this week’s synoptic pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 21?
21°C 38%
22°C 28%
20°C 16%
23°C 9%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
8%
20°C
16%
21°C
38%
22°C
28%
23°C
9%
24°C
6%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 38%
22°C 28%
20°C 16%
23°C 9%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
8%
20°C
16%
21°C
38%
22°C
28%
23°C
9%
24°C
6%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold fronts tracking south of the country have kept Cape Town cooler than seasonal norms, with South African Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model runs favoring a daytime maximum near 18–20 °C for August 21 amid moderate southerly winds and variable cloud cover. These conditions limit surface heating while the Benguela Current maintains marine-layer influence. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 21–23 °C because small shifts in front timing or wind speed could add 1–3 °C of warming, and updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread before resolution. Historical August highs average 17–18 °C, underscoring the sensitivity of the outcome to this week’s synoptic pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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