Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and northeasterly flow over Istanbul on September 12, supporting daytime heating to a peak near 27–28°C amid stable high pressure. Historical September averages hover around 25–26°C, with sea-surface moderation and typical wind patterns limiting extremes. The tight market split between 25°C and 26°C reflects uncertainty in exact model peaks, official station readings, and minor timing of maximum insolation, while lower odds on 27°C or higher acknowledge potential for slight cooling from stronger winds or cloud build-up. New short-range model updates in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 12?
26°C 48%
25°C 44%
27°C 9%
28°C 6%
22°C or below
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
44%
26°C
48%
27°C
9%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
26°C 48%
25°C 44%
27°C 9%
28°C 6%
22°C or below
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
44%
26°C
48%
27°C
9%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and northeasterly flow over Istanbul on September 12, supporting daytime heating to a peak near 27–28°C amid stable high pressure. Historical September averages hover around 25–26°C, with sea-surface moderation and typical wind patterns limiting extremes. The tight market split between 25°C and 26°C reflects uncertainty in exact model peaks, official station readings, and minor timing of maximum insolation, while lower odds on 27°C or higher acknowledge potential for slight cooling from stronger winds or cloud build-up. New short-range model updates in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp