Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate mostly sunny to clear conditions over Istanbul on September 11 under persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow, supporting daytime highs near 27–29°C with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions align with above-average September temperatures relative to the climatological maximum around 23°C, though slight model spread in peak timing and localized sea-breeze effects keeps the exact high uncertain. Market-implied odds favoring 25°C (54.5%) and 26°C (40.5%) reflect trader emphasis on conservative resolution criteria at official stations and potential for modest downward revisions in final observational data. No major shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 11?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 11?
25°C 53%
26°C 44%
24°C 4%
27°C 2.5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
53%
26°C
44%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 53%
26°C 44%
24°C 4%
27°C 2.5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
$416 KL.
<1%
22°C
$323 KL.
<1%
23°C
$173 KL.
<1%
24°C
$563 KL.
4%
25°C
$1,941 KL.
53%
26°C
$839 KL.
44%
27°C
$349 KL.
2%
28°C
$257 KL.
<1%
29°C
$317 KL.
<1%
30°C
$184 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$144 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate mostly sunny to clear conditions over Istanbul on September 11 under persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow, supporting daytime highs near 27–29°C with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions align with above-average September temperatures relative to the climatological maximum around 23°C, though slight model spread in peak timing and localized sea-breeze effects keeps the exact high uncertain. Market-implied odds favoring 25°C (54.5%) and 26°C (40.5%) reflect trader emphasis on conservative resolution criteria at official stations and potential for modest downward revisions in final observational data. No major shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,507Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate mostly sunny to clear conditions over Istanbul on September 11 under persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow, supporting daytime highs near 27–29°C with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions align with above-average September temperatures relative to the climatological maximum around 23°C, though slight model spread in peak timing and localized sea-breeze effects keeps the exact high uncertain. Market-implied odds favoring 25°C (54.5%) and 26°C (40.5%) reflect trader emphasis on conservative resolution criteria at official stations and potential for modest downward revisions in final observational data. No major shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,507Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate mostly sunny to clear conditions over Istanbul on September 11 under persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow, supporting daytime highs near 27–29°C with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions align with above-average September temperatures relative to the climatological maximum around 23°C, though slight model spread in peak timing and localized sea-breeze effects keeps the exact high uncertain. Market-implied odds favoring 25°C (54.5%) and 26°C (40.5%) reflect trader emphasis on conservative resolution criteria at official stations and potential for modest downward revisions in final observational data. No major shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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