Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions an 80-81°F high as the most probable outcome for Chicago on August 18, reflecting near-normal August conditions tempered by moderating lake breezes and possible cloud cover or scattered showers that limit peak heating. Chicago’s proximity to Lake Michigan frequently generates onshore flow that suppresses afternoon temperatures below climatological normals around 82°F, while regional pressure patterns and dew point trends influence boundary-layer mixing and radiative heating. Official observations from Chicago O’Hare and Midway airports, along with updated short-range model runs, will determine the daily maximum used for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on August 18?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 18?
80-81°F 55%
82-83°F 30%
78-79°F 10%
84-85°F 6%
MỚI
$10,527 KL.
MỚI
$10,527 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
55%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 55%
82-83°F 30%
78-79°F 10%
84-85°F 6%
MỚI
$10,527 KL.
MỚI
$10,527 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
71°F or below
$25 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$233 KL.
<1%
74-75°F
$3,000 KL.
<1%
76-77°F
$387 KL.
2%
78-79°F
$1,046 KL.
10%
80-81°F
$2,086 KL.
55%
82-83°F
$2,273 KL.
30%
84-85°F
$614 KL.
6%
86-87°F
$462 KL.
2%
88-89°F
$302 KL.
<1%
90°F or higher
$100 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions an 80-81°F high as the most probable outcome for Chicago on August 18, reflecting near-normal August conditions tempered by moderating lake breezes and possible cloud cover or scattered showers that limit peak heating. Chicago’s proximity to Lake Michigan frequently generates onshore flow that suppresses afternoon temperatures below climatological normals around 82°F, while regional pressure patterns and dew point trends influence boundary-layer mixing and radiative heating. Official observations from Chicago O’Hare and Midway airports, along with updated short-range model runs, will determine the daily maximum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$10,527Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions an 80-81°F high as the most probable outcome for Chicago on August 18, reflecting near-normal August conditions tempered by moderating lake breezes and possible cloud cover or scattered showers that limit peak heating. Chicago’s proximity to Lake Michigan frequently generates onshore flow that suppresses afternoon temperatures below climatological normals around 82°F, while regional pressure patterns and dew point trends influence boundary-layer mixing and radiative heating. Official observations from Chicago O’Hare and Midway airports, along with updated short-range model runs, will determine the daily maximum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10,527Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions an 80-81°F high as the most probable outcome for Chicago on August 18, reflecting near-normal August conditions tempered by moderating lake breezes and possible cloud cover or scattered showers that limit peak heating. Chicago’s proximity to Lake Michigan frequently generates onshore flow that suppresses afternoon temperatures below climatological normals around 82°F, while regional pressure patterns and dew point trends influence boundary-layer mixing and radiative heating. Official observations from Chicago O’Hare and Midway airports, along with updated short-range model runs, will determine the daily maximum used for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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