**Official NWS forecasts for Austin on September 18, 2026, call for sunny and hot conditions with a high near 100°F under light east-southeast winds and clear to partly cloudy skies.** Multiple private models and earlier guidance cluster in the mid-to-upper 90s, aligning with trader consensus that heavily favors the 96–99°F range (94% combined implied probability). Persistent high pressure, subsidence warming, and above-normal September temperatures—already on pace for a record-warm month—support peak readings in this band, while low precipitation chances and modest humidity limit additional warming beyond 101°F. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum at stations such as Camp Mabry or Austin-Bergstrom, with any late-day model revisions or localized cloud cover the main variables that could shift the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on September 18?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 18?
98-99°F 53%
96-97°F 37%
100-101°F 6%
94-95°F 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
53%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 53%
96-97°F 37%
100-101°F 6%
94-95°F 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
87°F or below
$174 KL.
<1%
88-89°F
$474 KL.
<1%
90-91°F
$125 KL.
<1%
92-93°F
$86 KL.
<1%
94-95°F
$270 KL.
3%
96-97°F
$2,751 KL.
37%
98-99°F
$2,799 KL.
53%
100-101°F
$1,111 KL.
6%
102-103°F
$144 KL.
2%
104-105°F
$255 KL.
<1%
106°F or higher
$461 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official NWS forecasts for Austin on September 18, 2026, call for sunny and hot conditions with a high near 100°F under light east-southeast winds and clear to partly cloudy skies.** Multiple private models and earlier guidance cluster in the mid-to-upper 90s, aligning with trader consensus that heavily favors the 96–99°F range (94% combined implied probability). Persistent high pressure, subsidence warming, and above-normal September temperatures—already on pace for a record-warm month—support peak readings in this band, while low precipitation chances and modest humidity limit additional warming beyond 101°F. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum at stations such as Camp Mabry or Austin-Bergstrom, with any late-day model revisions or localized cloud cover the main variables that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,649Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official NWS forecasts for Austin on September 18, 2026, call for sunny and hot conditions with a high near 100°F under light east-southeast winds and clear to partly cloudy skies.** Multiple private models and earlier guidance cluster in the mid-to-upper 90s, aligning with trader consensus that heavily favors the 96–99°F range (94% combined implied probability). Persistent high pressure, subsidence warming, and above-normal September temperatures—already on pace for a record-warm month—support peak readings in this band, while low precipitation chances and modest humidity limit additional warming beyond 101°F. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum at stations such as Camp Mabry or Austin-Bergstrom, with any late-day model revisions or localized cloud cover the main variables that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,649Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Official NWS forecasts for Austin on September 18, 2026, call for sunny and hot conditions with a high near 100°F under light east-southeast winds and clear to partly cloudy skies.** Multiple private models and earlier guidance cluster in the mid-to-upper 90s, aligning with trader consensus that heavily favors the 96–99°F range (94% combined implied probability). Persistent high pressure, subsidence warming, and above-normal September temperatures—already on pace for a record-warm month—support peak readings in this band, while low precipitation chances and modest humidity limit additional warming beyond 101°F. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum at stations such as Camp Mabry or Austin-Bergstrom, with any late-day model revisions or localized cloud cover the main variables that could shift the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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