Traders see the 140-159 and 160-179 ranges as the tightest contenders because Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X has settled into a steady but variable rhythm of roughly 18–25 posts per day, producing weekly totals in that band. Historical data shows he maintains high engagement through replies, commentary on AI and SpaceX developments, and real-time reactions, yet volume can swing with breaking company news or travel. The close market-implied odds underscore how sensitive the outcome remains to any surge in activity during the eight-day window starting August 21, with no major scheduled catalysts yet confirmed to push totals higher or lower.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật140-159 20%
160-179 20%
180-199 19%
120-139 15%
MỚI
$26,850 KL.
MỚI
$26,850 KL.
Aug 28, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
1%
80-99
3%
100-119
10%
120-139
15%
140-159
20%
160-179
20%
180-199
19%
200-219
11%
220-239
7%
240-259
7%
260-279
6%
280-299
5%
300-319
2%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
140-159 20%
160-179 20%
180-199 19%
120-139 15%
MỚI
$26,850 KL.
MỚI
$26,850 KL.
Aug 28, 2026
<20
$3,676 KL.
<1%
20-39
$3,276 KL.
<1%
40-59
$6,516 KL.
<1%
60-79
$30 KL.
1%
80-99
$359 KL.
3%
100-119
$21 KL.
10%
120-139
$15 KL.
15%
140-159
$89 KL.
20%
160-179
$37 KL.
20%
180-199
$19 KL.
19%
200-219
$39 KL.
11%
220-239
$22 KL.
7%
240-259
$28 KL.
7%
260-279
$23 KL.
6%
280-299
$18 KL.
5%
300-319
$60 KL.
2%
320-339
$65 KL.
2%
340-359
$536 KL.
1%
360-379
$536 KL.
1%
380-399
$536 KL.
1%
400-419
$536 KL.
1%
420-439
$1,662 KL.
<1%
440-459
$3,567 KL.
<1%
460-479
$2,520 KL.
<1%
480-499
$2,520 KL.
<1%
500+
$143 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 21 12:00 PM ET to August 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 140-159 and 160-179 ranges as the tightest contenders because Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X has settled into a steady but variable rhythm of roughly 18–25 posts per day, producing weekly totals in that band. Historical data shows he maintains high engagement through replies, commentary on AI and SpaceX developments, and real-time reactions, yet volume can swing with breaking company news or travel. The close market-implied odds underscore how sensitive the outcome remains to any surge in activity during the eight-day window starting August 21, with no major scheduled catalysts yet confirmed to push totals higher or lower.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 21 12:00 PM ET to August 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Khối lượng
$26,850Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 21 12:00 PM ET to August 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 140-159 and 160-179 ranges as the tightest contenders because Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X has settled into a steady but variable rhythm of roughly 18–25 posts per day, producing weekly totals in that band. Historical data shows he maintains high engagement through replies, commentary on AI and SpaceX developments, and real-time reactions, yet volume can swing with breaking company news or travel. The close market-implied odds underscore how sensitive the outcome remains to any surge in activity during the eight-day window starting August 21, with no major scheduled catalysts yet confirmed to push totals higher or lower.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 21 12:00 PM ET to August 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$26,850Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 140-159 and 160-179 ranges as the tightest contenders because Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X has settled into a steady but variable rhythm of roughly 18–25 posts per day, producing weekly totals in that band. Historical data shows he maintains high engagement through replies, commentary on AI and SpaceX developments, and real-time reactions, yet volume can swing with breaking company news or travel. The close market-implied odds underscore how sensitive the outcome remains to any surge in activity during the eight-day window starting August 21, with no major scheduled catalysts yet confirmed to push totals higher or lower.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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