Recent trader consensus on Elon Musk’s September 30 net worth centers on the $900B–$1T band at 41.5% implied probability, with adjacent ranges near $1–1.1T and $800–900B also prominent, reflecting expectations of modest recovery from the current ~$860–870B level driven by SpaceX (roughly 82% of wealth) and Tesla holdings. SpaceX’s post-June IPO volatility, including sharp corrections tied to broader tech selloffs and AI infrastructure concerns, has anchored recent valuations around $140 per share, while Tesla trades near $346 amid EV competition and margin pressures. With shares largely locked until mid-2027, short-term moves hinge on equity market sentiment, potential earnings updates, and any xAI-related developments within the combined entity. This setup leaves room for swings into the leading ranges on positive tech-sector momentum but underscores downside risks below $800B if selloffs resume.