Tesla's sharp share price decline through July 2026, closing near $311 after peaking above $498 in late 2025 and amid Q2 deliveries that failed to lift sentiment, forms the main driver behind the $600-700B bracket holding 43% implied probability. The February SpaceX-xAI merger at a $1.25T combined valuation and ongoing IPO preparations add substantial private-asset support, yet persistent EV demand softness and competitive pressures in autonomous driving limit upside. Traders appear focused on near-term catalysts such as August delivery updates and any Starship progress that could shift the narrow lead over lower brackets before month-end resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$600-$700B 62%
<$600B 31%
$900B-$1.00T 20%
$1.10T+ 15.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
<$600B
25%
$600-$700B
47%
$700-$800B
25%
$800-$900B
9%
$900B-$1.00T
20%
$1.00-$1.10T
5%
$1.10T+
15%
$600-$700B 62%
<$600B 31%
$900B-$1.00T 20%
$1.10T+ 15.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
<$600B
$60 KL.
25%
$600-$700B
$71 KL.
47%
$700-$800B
$50 KL.
25%
$800-$900B
$41 KL.
9%
$900B-$1.00T
$41 KL.
20%
$1.00-$1.10T
$41 KL.
5%
$1.10T+
$39 KL.
15%
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on August 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.Tesla's sharp share price decline through July 2026, closing near $311 after peaking above $498 in late 2025 and amid Q2 deliveries that failed to lift sentiment, forms the main driver behind the $600-700B bracket holding 43% implied probability. The February SpaceX-xAI merger at a $1.25T combined valuation and ongoing IPO preparations add substantial private-asset support, yet persistent EV demand softness and competitive pressures in autonomous driving limit upside. Traders appear focused on near-term catalysts such as August delivery updates and any Starship progress that could shift the narrow lead over lower brackets before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on August 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 29, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$344Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 29, 2026, 7:09 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on August 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.Tesla's sharp share price decline through July 2026, closing near $311 after peaking above $498 in late 2025 and amid Q2 deliveries that failed to lift sentiment, forms the main driver behind the $600-700B bracket holding 43% implied probability. The February SpaceX-xAI merger at a $1.25T combined valuation and ongoing IPO preparations add substantial private-asset support, yet persistent EV demand softness and competitive pressures in autonomous driving limit upside. Traders appear focused on near-term catalysts such as August delivery updates and any Starship progress that could shift the narrow lead over lower brackets before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on August 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Khối lượng
$344Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 29, 2026, 7:09 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla's sharp share price decline through July 2026, closing near $311 after peaking above $498 in late 2025 and amid Q2 deliveries that failed to lift sentiment, forms the main driver behind the $600-700B bracket holding 43% implied probability. The February SpaceX-xAI merger at a $1.25T combined valuation and ongoing IPO preparations add substantial private-asset support, yet persistent EV demand softness and competitive pressures in autonomous driving limit upside. Traders appear focused on near-term catalysts such as August delivery updates and any Starship progress that could shift the narrow lead over lower brackets before month-end resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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