New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) larvae infest open wounds in livestock, causing rapid tissue damage; the U.S. eradicated the pest domestically in 1966 via sterile insect technique but faces renewed risk from northward spread through Mexico since 2024. USDA-APHIS confirmed the first 2026 U.S. case on June 3 in a Zavala County, Texas calf, followed by additional detections in Texas counties and New Mexico livestock (cattle, goats, sheep) by mid-June, with 12–16 total animal cases reported by late June and ongoing dashboard updates through July. Official sources distinguish confirmed infestations from projections, noting active sterile fly releases, surveillance in border states, and phased port reopenings (e.g., Douglas, AZ on August 24). Trader consensus on spread beyond Texas reflects these verified detections and response timelines rather than models alone.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtConfirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
MỚI
August 30
22%
October 31
47%
December 31
54%
$4,714 KL.
August 30
$1,544 KL.
22%
October 31
$501 KL.
47%
December 31
$534 KL.
54%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) larvae infest open wounds in livestock, causing rapid tissue damage; the U.S. eradicated the pest domestically in 1966 via sterile insect technique but faces renewed risk from northward spread through Mexico since 2024. USDA-APHIS confirmed the first 2026 U.S. case on June 3 in a Zavala County, Texas calf, followed by additional detections in Texas counties and New Mexico livestock (cattle, goats, sheep) by mid-June, with 12–16 total animal cases reported by late June and ongoing dashboard updates through July. Official sources distinguish confirmed infestations from projections, noting active sterile fly releases, surveillance in border states, and phased port reopenings (e.g., Douglas, AZ on August 24). Trader consensus on spread beyond Texas reflects these verified detections and response timelines rather than models alone.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Thị trường mở: Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,714Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) larvae infest open wounds in livestock, causing rapid tissue damage; the U.S. eradicated the pest domestically in 1966 via sterile insect technique but faces renewed risk from northward spread through Mexico since 2024. USDA-APHIS confirmed the first 2026 U.S. case on June 3 in a Zavala County, Texas calf, followed by additional detections in Texas counties and New Mexico livestock (cattle, goats, sheep) by mid-June, with 12–16 total animal cases reported by late June and ongoing dashboard updates through July. Official sources distinguish confirmed infestations from projections, noting active sterile fly releases, surveillance in border states, and phased port reopenings (e.g., Douglas, AZ on August 24). Trader consensus on spread beyond Texas reflects these verified detections and response timelines rather than models alone.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Khối lượng
$4,714Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) larvae infest open wounds in livestock, causing rapid tissue damage; the U.S. eradicated the pest domestically in 1966 via sterile insect technique but faces renewed risk from northward spread through Mexico since 2024. USDA-APHIS confirmed the first 2026 U.S. case on June 3 in a Zavala County, Texas calf, followed by additional detections in Texas counties and New Mexico livestock (cattle, goats, sheep) by mid-June, with 12–16 total animal cases reported by late June and ongoing dashboard updates through July. Official sources distinguish confirmed infestations from projections, noting active sterile fly releases, surveillance in border states, and phased port reopenings (e.g., Douglas, AZ on August 24). Trader consensus on spread beyond Texas reflects these verified detections and response timelines rather than models alone.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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