Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas and New Mexico since the first confirmed U.S. animal case on June 3, 2026, have prompted state disaster declarations and USDA activation of emergency response measures, though CDC and APHIS continue to rate domestic risk to animals and people as very low with zero locally acquired human cases. As of late July 2026, USDA-APHIS reported around 37 domestically acquired animal cases amid hundreds of thousands tracked in Mexico and Central America. Control relies on sterile insect technique (SIT) dispersal, border surveillance, and movement restrictions, with model-adjusted sterile fly releases targeting northern source populations. Traders monitor USDA and CDC situation updates for any escalation in case counts, northward spread during peak fly season, or shifts in official risk assessments that could trigger broader federal emergency measures.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtScrewworm National Emergency declared by...?
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
MỚI
Jan 1, 2027
August 30
45%
October 31
47%
December 31
46%
$1,442 KL.
August 30
$61 KL.
45%
October 31
$0 KL.
47%
December 31
$0 KL.
46%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas and New Mexico since the first confirmed U.S. animal case on June 3, 2026, have prompted state disaster declarations and USDA activation of emergency response measures, though CDC and APHIS continue to rate domestic risk to animals and people as very low with zero locally acquired human cases. As of late July 2026, USDA-APHIS reported around 37 domestically acquired animal cases amid hundreds of thousands tracked in Mexico and Central America. Control relies on sterile insect technique (SIT) dispersal, border surveillance, and movement restrictions, with model-adjusted sterile fly releases targeting northern source populations. Traders monitor USDA and CDC situation updates for any escalation in case counts, northward spread during peak fly season, or shifts in official risk assessments that could trigger broader federal emergency measures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,442Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas and New Mexico since the first confirmed U.S. animal case on June 3, 2026, have prompted state disaster declarations and USDA activation of emergency response measures, though CDC and APHIS continue to rate domestic risk to animals and people as very low with zero locally acquired human cases. As of late July 2026, USDA-APHIS reported around 37 domestically acquired animal cases amid hundreds of thousands tracked in Mexico and Central America. Control relies on sterile insect technique (SIT) dispersal, border surveillance, and movement restrictions, with model-adjusted sterile fly releases targeting northern source populations. Traders monitor USDA and CDC situation updates for any escalation in case counts, northward spread during peak fly season, or shifts in official risk assessments that could trigger broader federal emergency measures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$1,442Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas and New Mexico since the first confirmed U.S. animal case on June 3, 2026, have prompted state disaster declarations and USDA activation of emergency response measures, though CDC and APHIS continue to rate domestic risk to animals and people as very low with zero locally acquired human cases. As of late July 2026, USDA-APHIS reported around 37 domestically acquired animal cases amid hundreds of thousands tracked in Mexico and Central America. Control relies on sterile insect technique (SIT) dispersal, border surveillance, and movement restrictions, with model-adjusted sterile fly releases targeting northern source populations. Traders monitor USDA and CDC situation updates for any escalation in case counts, northward spread during peak fly season, or shifts in official risk assessments that could trigger broader federal emergency measures.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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