Recent July CPI data at 0.5% year-on-year, below expectations amid food deflation and softer core readings, has anchored trader views that August inflation will likely remain subdued near 0.7-0.8%. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, ongoing drags from pork and residence categories, and lagged effects from fiscal measures continue to limit upward pressure despite favorable base effects and seasonal vegetable or pork rebounds. Analyst forecasts cluster around 0.7-0.9%, with recent manufacturing PMI improvements and commodity influences offering limited upside. The 0.5-0.6% band retains support if food deflation persists, while higher outcomes reflect risks from policy transmission or external price shocks. The National Bureau of Statistics release, due in early September, will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật0.7% - 0.8% 50%
0.5% - 0.6% 32%
0.9%+ 19.0%
0.3% - 0.4% 10.8%
$30,156 KL.
$30,156 KL.
Sep 9, 2026
≤0.2%
1%
0.3% - 0.4%
8%
0.5% - 0.6%
24%
0.7% - 0.8%
50%
0.9%+
19%
0.7% - 0.8% 50%
0.5% - 0.6% 32%
0.9%+ 19.0%
0.3% - 0.4% 10.8%
$30,156 KL.
$30,156 KL.
Sep 9, 2026
≤0.2%
$1,216 KL.
1%
0.3% - 0.4%
$2,069 KL.
8%
0.5% - 0.6%
$10,872 KL.
24%
0.7% - 0.8%
$12,264 KL.
50%
0.9%+
$3,733 KL.
19%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent July CPI data at 0.5% year-on-year, below expectations amid food deflation and softer core readings, has anchored trader views that August inflation will likely remain subdued near 0.7-0.8%. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, ongoing drags from pork and residence categories, and lagged effects from fiscal measures continue to limit upward pressure despite favorable base effects and seasonal vegetable or pork rebounds. Analyst forecasts cluster around 0.7-0.9%, with recent manufacturing PMI improvements and commodity influences offering limited upside. The 0.5-0.6% band retains support if food deflation persists, while higher outcomes reflect risks from policy transmission or external price shocks. The National Bureau of Statistics release, due in early September, will resolve the market.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$30,156Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent July CPI data at 0.5% year-on-year, below expectations amid food deflation and softer core readings, has anchored trader views that August inflation will likely remain subdued near 0.7-0.8%. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, ongoing drags from pork and residence categories, and lagged effects from fiscal measures continue to limit upward pressure despite favorable base effects and seasonal vegetable or pork rebounds. Analyst forecasts cluster around 0.7-0.9%, with recent manufacturing PMI improvements and commodity influences offering limited upside. The 0.5-0.6% band retains support if food deflation persists, while higher outcomes reflect risks from policy transmission or external price shocks. The National Bureau of Statistics release, due in early September, will resolve the market.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Khối lượng
$30,156Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data at 0.5% year-on-year, below expectations amid food deflation and softer core readings, has anchored trader views that August inflation will likely remain subdued near 0.7-0.8%. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, ongoing drags from pork and residence categories, and lagged effects from fiscal measures continue to limit upward pressure despite favorable base effects and seasonal vegetable or pork rebounds. Analyst forecasts cluster around 0.7-0.9%, with recent manufacturing PMI improvements and commodity influences offering limited upside. The 0.5-0.6% band retains support if food deflation persists, while higher outcomes reflect risks from policy transmission or external price shocks. The National Bureau of Statistics release, due in early September, will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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