Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at their lowest level in 75 years, remain the dominant driver of ground beef prices in 2026, supporting wholesale beef values near multi-year highs and retail ground beef averages around $6.70–$6.90 per pound through mid-year. Strong consumer demand has persisted despite elevated prices, while increased lean-trim imports have partially offset domestic shortfalls but failed to ease upward pressure on processing beef. USDA forecasts project wholesale beef prices to rise roughly 10% for the year, with farm-level cattle prices also advancing amid the ongoing contraction phase of the cattle cycle. Key upcoming factors include potential shifts in import volumes, feed-cost volatility tied to weather and fuel, and early signals of herd stabilization that could influence Q4 resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$21,296 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$7.000+
44%
$8.000+
47%
$9.000+
31%
$10.000+
23%
$21,296 KL.
$7.000+
$59 KL.
44%
$8.000+
$1,918 KL.
47%
$9.000+
$740 KL.
31%
$10.000+
$18,579 KL.
23%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at their lowest level in 75 years, remain the dominant driver of ground beef prices in 2026, supporting wholesale beef values near multi-year highs and retail ground beef averages around $6.70–$6.90 per pound through mid-year. Strong consumer demand has persisted despite elevated prices, while increased lean-trim imports have partially offset domestic shortfalls but failed to ease upward pressure on processing beef. USDA forecasts project wholesale beef prices to rise roughly 10% for the year, with farm-level cattle prices also advancing amid the ongoing contraction phase of the cattle cycle. Key upcoming factors include potential shifts in import volumes, feed-cost volatility tied to weather and fuel, and early signals of herd stabilization that could influence Q4 resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Thị trường mở: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$21,296Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at their lowest level in 75 years, remain the dominant driver of ground beef prices in 2026, supporting wholesale beef values near multi-year highs and retail ground beef averages around $6.70–$6.90 per pound through mid-year. Strong consumer demand has persisted despite elevated prices, while increased lean-trim imports have partially offset domestic shortfalls but failed to ease upward pressure on processing beef. USDA forecasts project wholesale beef prices to rise roughly 10% for the year, with farm-level cattle prices also advancing amid the ongoing contraction phase of the cattle cycle. Key upcoming factors include potential shifts in import volumes, feed-cost volatility tied to weather and fuel, and early signals of herd stabilization that could influence Q4 resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$21,296Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at their lowest level in 75 years, remain the dominant driver of ground beef prices in 2026, supporting wholesale beef values near multi-year highs and retail ground beef averages around $6.70–$6.90 per pound through mid-year. Strong consumer demand has persisted despite elevated prices, while increased lean-trim imports have partially offset domestic shortfalls but failed to ease upward pressure on processing beef. USDA forecasts project wholesale beef prices to rise roughly 10% for the year, with farm-level cattle prices also advancing amid the ongoing contraction phase of the cattle cycle. Key upcoming factors include potential shifts in import volumes, feed-cost volatility tied to weather and fuel, and early signals of herd stabilization that could influence Q4 resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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