Recent monthly Japan core CPI readings, at 1.6% YoY in June 2026 after 1.4% in May, have anchored trader sentiment near the 2% BoJ target amid government energy subsidies and a firm yen. With the Bank of Japan projecting FY2026 core inflation around 1.9–2.5% following its July policy rate hold at 1.0%, the near-even split between ≤1.9% and 2.0–2.4% outcomes highlights uncertainty over whether underlying demand-driven pressures (core-core near 1.7–2.3%) will push the annual average above or below 2%. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly releases, oil price volatility, and BoJ communications on rate normalization.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật≤1.9% 48.9%
2.0-2.4% 48%
2.5-2.9% 1.4%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$37,325 KL.
$37,325 KL.
Jan 22, 2027
≤1.9%
49%
2.0-2.4%
48%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
≤1.9% 48.9%
2.0-2.4% 48%
2.5-2.9% 1.4%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$37,325 KL.
$37,325 KL.
Jan 22, 2027
≤1.9%
$18,007 KL.
49%
2.0-2.4%
$10,631 KL.
48%
2.5-2.9%
$5,149 KL.
1%
3.0-3.4%
$1,322 KL.
1%
3.5-3.9%
$875 KL.
<1%
4.0%+
$1,339 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent monthly Japan core CPI readings, at 1.6% YoY in June 2026 after 1.4% in May, have anchored trader sentiment near the 2% BoJ target amid government energy subsidies and a firm yen. With the Bank of Japan projecting FY2026 core inflation around 1.9–2.5% following its July policy rate hold at 1.0%, the near-even split between ≤1.9% and 2.0–2.4% outcomes highlights uncertainty over whether underlying demand-driven pressures (core-core near 1.7–2.3%) will push the annual average above or below 2%. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly releases, oil price volatility, and BoJ communications on rate normalization.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Thị trường mở: Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Khối lượng
$37,325Ngày kết thúc
Jan 22, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent monthly Japan core CPI readings, at 1.6% YoY in June 2026 after 1.4% in May, have anchored trader sentiment near the 2% BoJ target amid government energy subsidies and a firm yen. With the Bank of Japan projecting FY2026 core inflation around 1.9–2.5% following its July policy rate hold at 1.0%, the near-even split between ≤1.9% and 2.0–2.4% outcomes highlights uncertainty over whether underlying demand-driven pressures (core-core near 1.7–2.3%) will push the annual average above or below 2%. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly releases, oil price volatility, and BoJ communications on rate normalization.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Khối lượng
$37,325Ngày kết thúc
Jan 22, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monthly Japan core CPI readings, at 1.6% YoY in June 2026 after 1.4% in May, have anchored trader sentiment near the 2% BoJ target amid government energy subsidies and a firm yen. With the Bank of Japan projecting FY2026 core inflation around 1.9–2.5% following its July policy rate hold at 1.0%, the near-even split between ≤1.9% and 2.0–2.4% outcomes highlights uncertainty over whether underlying demand-driven pressures (core-core near 1.7–2.3%) will push the annual average above or below 2%. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly releases, oil price volatility, and BoJ communications on rate normalization.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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