Incumbent Denny Tamaki leads the September 13, 2026, Okinawa gubernatorial race due to his long-standing opposition to relocating the U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma to Henoko and consistent backing from the All Okinawa coalition of opposition parties. Trader consensus assigns him the highest probability among declared candidates. Main challenger Genta Koja, endorsed by local business groups and LDP-aligned forces, trails as the primary alternative. Support for Tamaki has shown some softening after the February 2026 Lower House election, where All Okinawa candidates lost all district seats and coalition alignments shifted with the formation of the Centrist Reform Alliance. Other listed candidates register minimal odds, reflecting limited viability in a contest centered on base policy and prefectural autonomy.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDenny Tamaki 67%
Genta Koja 28%
Mikio Shimoji 4.5%
Masahiro Sueyoshi 3.5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
Denny Tamaki
67%
Genta Koja
28%
Mikio Shimoji
5%
Masahiro Sueyoshi
4%
Chosuke Yara
1%
Takashi Higa
1%
Shun Kaneshima
6%
Denny Tamaki 67%
Genta Koja 28%
Mikio Shimoji 4.5%
Masahiro Sueyoshi 3.5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
Denny Tamaki
$364 KL.
67%
Genta Koja
$158 KL.
28%
Mikio Shimoji
$179 KL.
5%
Masahiro Sueyoshi
$110 KL.
4%
Chosuke Yara
$119 KL.
1%
Takashi Higa
$140 KL.
1%
Shun Kaneshima
$96 KL.
6%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).Incumbent Denny Tamaki leads the September 13, 2026, Okinawa gubernatorial race due to his long-standing opposition to relocating the U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma to Henoko and consistent backing from the All Okinawa coalition of opposition parties. Trader consensus assigns him the highest probability among declared candidates. Main challenger Genta Koja, endorsed by local business groups and LDP-aligned forces, trails as the primary alternative. Support for Tamaki has shown some softening after the February 2026 Lower House election, where All Okinawa candidates lost all district seats and coalition alignments shifted with the formation of the Centrist Reform Alliance. Other listed candidates register minimal odds, reflecting limited viability in a contest centered on base policy and prefectural autonomy.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,166Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).Incumbent Denny Tamaki leads the September 13, 2026, Okinawa gubernatorial race due to his long-standing opposition to relocating the U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma to Henoko and consistent backing from the All Okinawa coalition of opposition parties. Trader consensus assigns him the highest probability among declared candidates. Main challenger Genta Koja, endorsed by local business groups and LDP-aligned forces, trails as the primary alternative. Support for Tamaki has shown some softening after the February 2026 Lower House election, where All Okinawa candidates lost all district seats and coalition alignments shifted with the formation of the Centrist Reform Alliance. Other listed candidates register minimal odds, reflecting limited viability in a contest centered on base policy and prefectural autonomy.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Khối lượng
$1,166Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Denny Tamaki leads the September 13, 2026, Okinawa gubernatorial race due to his long-standing opposition to relocating the U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma to Henoko and consistent backing from the All Okinawa coalition of opposition parties. Trader consensus assigns him the highest probability among declared candidates. Main challenger Genta Koja, endorsed by local business groups and LDP-aligned forces, trails as the primary alternative. Support for Tamaki has shown some softening after the February 2026 Lower House election, where All Okinawa candidates lost all district seats and coalition alignments shifted with the formation of the Centrist Reform Alliance. Other listed candidates register minimal odds, reflecting limited viability in a contest centered on base policy and prefectural autonomy.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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