All three major credit rating agencies maintain stable outlooks on U.S. sovereign debt after Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 aligned it one notch below the top tier alongside S&P and Fitch. Fitch reaffirmed its AA+ rating with a stable outlook in August 2025, and subsequent reviews through mid-2026 have shown no negative watches or renewed debt-ceiling standoffs. Congressional Budget Office projections highlight sustained deficits and rising debt-service costs, yet the lack of abrupt fiscal shocks or legislative confrontations has eased near-term downgrade pressure. This institutional stability and absence of historical catalysts underpin the trader consensus reflected in current market pricing for no additional downgrade before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
16% khả năng
$12,816 KL.
$12,816 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
16% khả năng
$12,816 KL.
$12,816 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.All three major credit rating agencies maintain stable outlooks on U.S. sovereign debt after Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 aligned it one notch below the top tier alongside S&P and Fitch. Fitch reaffirmed its AA+ rating with a stable outlook in August 2025, and subsequent reviews through mid-2026 have shown no negative watches or renewed debt-ceiling standoffs. Congressional Budget Office projections highlight sustained deficits and rising debt-service costs, yet the lack of abrupt fiscal shocks or legislative confrontations has eased near-term downgrade pressure. This institutional stability and absence of historical catalysts underpin the trader consensus reflected in current market pricing for no additional downgrade before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$12,816Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.All three major credit rating agencies maintain stable outlooks on U.S. sovereign debt after Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 aligned it one notch below the top tier alongside S&P and Fitch. Fitch reaffirmed its AA+ rating with a stable outlook in August 2025, and subsequent reviews through mid-2026 have shown no negative watches or renewed debt-ceiling standoffs. Congressional Budget Office projections highlight sustained deficits and rising debt-service costs, yet the lack of abrupt fiscal shocks or legislative confrontations has eased near-term downgrade pressure. This institutional stability and absence of historical catalysts underpin the trader consensus reflected in current market pricing for no additional downgrade before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$12,816Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...All three major credit rating agencies maintain stable outlooks on U.S. sovereign debt after Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 aligned it one notch below the top tier alongside S&P and Fitch. Fitch reaffirmed its AA+ rating with a stable outlook in August 2025, and subsequent reviews through mid-2026 have shown no negative watches or renewed debt-ceiling standoffs. Congressional Budget Office projections highlight sustained deficits and rising debt-service costs, yet the lack of abrupt fiscal shocks or legislative confrontations has eased near-term downgrade pressure. This institutional stability and absence of historical catalysts underpin the trader consensus reflected in current market pricing for no additional downgrade before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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