Greenland's Inatsisartut parliament and current center-right government favor a gradual path to greater autonomy under the 2009 Self-Government Act, with no referendum scheduled or legislated for 2026. Economic dependence on Danish block grants, public opinion polls showing majority support only if living standards are preserved, and the need for Danish parliamentary approval of terms all reinforce caution among parties. With roughly four months remaining in the year, organizing and conducting a binding vote that meets the market's criteria faces insurmountable procedural and logistical barriers. Trader consensus at 95.5% against reflects these structural and timing realities, though a sudden coalition shift or emergency parliamentary action could theoretically accelerate the process before year-end.