**Trader sentiment favoring no new Abraham Accords signatory before 2027 stems primarily from stalled progress on high-profile candidates.** Saudi Arabia continues to condition normalization on concrete Palestinian statehood advances, a requirement unchanged despite U.S. pressure and linkage of any Saudi nuclear cooperation deal to broader accords participation. Syria and Lebanon face internal stabilization hurdles and Hezbollah dynamics that block near-term movement. Kazakhstan’s formal accession in November 2025 marked the first Central Asian entrant but involved preexisting diplomatic ties and did not shift momentum toward Arab or other major states. Somaliland pledged participation after Israel’s December 2025 recognition, yet full implementation remains uncertain and non-standard. With no major bilateral breakthroughs announced in recent months and roughly four months remaining, the compressed timeline and regional constraints underpin the 82.7% implied probability for no additional joiner.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
17% шанс
$281,751 Обс.
$281,751 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
17% шанс
$281,751 Обс.
$281,751 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Trader sentiment favoring no new Abraham Accords signatory before 2027 stems primarily from stalled progress on high-profile candidates.** Saudi Arabia continues to condition normalization on concrete Palestinian statehood advances, a requirement unchanged despite U.S. pressure and linkage of any Saudi nuclear cooperation deal to broader accords participation. Syria and Lebanon face internal stabilization hurdles and Hezbollah dynamics that block near-term movement. Kazakhstan’s formal accession in November 2025 marked the first Central Asian entrant but involved preexisting diplomatic ties and did not shift momentum toward Arab or other major states. Somaliland pledged participation after Israel’s December 2025 recognition, yet full implementation remains uncertain and non-standard. With no major bilateral breakthroughs announced in recent months and roughly four months remaining, the compressed timeline and regional constraints underpin the 82.7% implied probability for no additional joiner.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
Обсяг
$281,751Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Trader sentiment favoring no new Abraham Accords signatory before 2027 stems primarily from stalled progress on high-profile candidates.** Saudi Arabia continues to condition normalization on concrete Palestinian statehood advances, a requirement unchanged despite U.S. pressure and linkage of any Saudi nuclear cooperation deal to broader accords participation. Syria and Lebanon face internal stabilization hurdles and Hezbollah dynamics that block near-term movement. Kazakhstan’s formal accession in November 2025 marked the first Central Asian entrant but involved preexisting diplomatic ties and did not shift momentum toward Arab or other major states. Somaliland pledged participation after Israel’s December 2025 recognition, yet full implementation remains uncertain and non-standard. With no major bilateral breakthroughs announced in recent months and roughly four months remaining, the compressed timeline and regional constraints underpin the 82.7% implied probability for no additional joiner.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$281,751Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader sentiment favoring no new Abraham Accords signatory before 2027 stems primarily from stalled progress on high-profile candidates.** Saudi Arabia continues to condition normalization on concrete Palestinian statehood advances, a requirement unchanged despite U.S. pressure and linkage of any Saudi nuclear cooperation deal to broader accords participation. Syria and Lebanon face internal stabilization hurdles and Hezbollah dynamics that block near-term movement. Kazakhstan’s formal accession in November 2025 marked the first Central Asian entrant but involved preexisting diplomatic ties and did not shift momentum toward Arab or other major states. Somaliland pledged participation after Israel’s December 2025 recognition, yet full implementation remains uncertain and non-standard. With no major bilateral breakthroughs announced in recent months and roughly four months remaining, the compressed timeline and regional constraints underpin the 82.7% implied probability for no additional joiner.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання