North Korea’s recent pattern of short-range ballistic missile launches in August 2026, including a salvo of roughly ten from the Pyongyang area on August 20 amid scaled-back U.S.-South Korea exercises, illustrates Pyongyang’s routine use of testing to signal resolve during periods of allied military activity. With the Ulchi Freedom Shield drills concluding and U.S. diplomatic overtures toward Kim Jong Un noted, traders see elevated chances for one or two tests in September, particularly around the September 9 founding anniversary. The tight spread across outcomes below four reflects uncertainty over whether diplomatic signals or seasonal factors will restrain activity, or whether recurring signaling incentives tied to regional tensions will sustain the pace observed earlier in 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNumber of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?
1 31%
2 22%
<1 17%
3 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 30, 2026
<1
17%
1
31%
2
22%
3
16%
4+
13%
1 31%
2 22%
<1 17%
3 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 30, 2026
<1
$321 Обс.
17%
1
$91 Обс.
31%
2
$112 Обс.
22%
3
$91 Обс.
16%
4+
$422 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea’s recent pattern of short-range ballistic missile launches in August 2026, including a salvo of roughly ten from the Pyongyang area on August 20 amid scaled-back U.S.-South Korea exercises, illustrates Pyongyang’s routine use of testing to signal resolve during periods of allied military activity. With the Ulchi Freedom Shield drills concluding and U.S. diplomatic overtures toward Kim Jong Un noted, traders see elevated chances for one or two tests in September, particularly around the September 9 founding anniversary. The tight spread across outcomes below four reflects uncertainty over whether diplomatic signals or seasonal factors will restrain activity, or whether recurring signaling incentives tied to regional tensions will sustain the pace observed earlier in 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,037Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea’s recent pattern of short-range ballistic missile launches in August 2026, including a salvo of roughly ten from the Pyongyang area on August 20 amid scaled-back U.S.-South Korea exercises, illustrates Pyongyang’s routine use of testing to signal resolve during periods of allied military activity. With the Ulchi Freedom Shield drills concluding and U.S. diplomatic overtures toward Kim Jong Un noted, traders see elevated chances for one or two tests in September, particularly around the September 9 founding anniversary. The tight spread across outcomes below four reflects uncertainty over whether diplomatic signals or seasonal factors will restrain activity, or whether recurring signaling incentives tied to regional tensions will sustain the pace observed earlier in 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Обсяг
$1,037Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea’s recent pattern of short-range ballistic missile launches in August 2026, including a salvo of roughly ten from the Pyongyang area on August 20 amid scaled-back U.S.-South Korea exercises, illustrates Pyongyang’s routine use of testing to signal resolve during periods of allied military activity. With the Ulchi Freedom Shield drills concluding and U.S. diplomatic overtures toward Kim Jong Un noted, traders see elevated chances for one or two tests in September, particularly around the September 9 founding anniversary. The tight spread across outcomes below four reflects uncertainty over whether diplomatic signals or seasonal factors will restrain activity, or whether recurring signaling incentives tied to regional tensions will sustain the pace observed earlier in 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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