United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the market at 69.5% because its incumbency, regional organization, and alignment with the presidential administration provide decisive advantages in Russia's managed electoral system ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote. Recent polls from state-linked firms such as VCIOM and FOM show the party holding 40–52% support among decided voters, far ahead of rivals, while single-member district dynamics and electronic voting further bolster its seat projection. New People has risen to second at 24.3% on the strength of its pro-business positioning and gains among younger or urban voters in the same surveys, though it remains well behind. The Liberal Democratic Party, Communists, and smaller parties trail due to narrower bases and limited momentum in the final weeks, with recent court rulings excluding additional opposition lists reinforcing the competitive landscape.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЯка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?
Єдина Росія (ЄР) 70%
Нові люди (NL) 24.3%
Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР) 4.5%
Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ) 1.4%
$24,959,035 Обс.
$24,959,035 Обс.

Єдина Росія (ЄР)
70%

Нові люди (NL)
24%

Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР)
4%

Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ)
1%

Yabloko
<1%

Родіна
<1%

Справедлива Росія — За правду (СРЗП)
<1%

Громадянська платформа (ГП)
<1%
Єдина Росія (ЄР) 70%
Нові люди (NL) 24.3%
Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР) 4.5%
Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ) 1.4%
$24,959,035 Обс.
$24,959,035 Обс.

Єдина Росія (ЄР)
70%

Нові люди (NL)
24%

Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР)
4%

Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ)
1%

Yabloko
<1%

Родіна
<1%

Справедлива Росія — За правду (СРЗП)
<1%

Громадянська платформа (ГП)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Вирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the market at 69.5% because its incumbency, regional organization, and alignment with the presidential administration provide decisive advantages in Russia's managed electoral system ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote. Recent polls from state-linked firms such as VCIOM and FOM show the party holding 40–52% support among decided voters, far ahead of rivals, while single-member district dynamics and electronic voting further bolster its seat projection. New People has risen to second at 24.3% on the strength of its pro-business positioning and gains among younger or urban voters in the same surveys, though it remains well behind. The Liberal Democratic Party, Communists, and smaller parties trail due to narrower bases and limited momentum in the final weeks, with recent court rulings excluding additional opposition lists reinforcing the competitive landscape.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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