In the Nicolet-Bécancour riding, trader consensus reflects a tight three-way contest among incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA Donald Martel, Parti Québécois candidate Jérôme Gagnon, and Conservative Party of Québec nominee Guillaume Langlois, with the Liberal candidate Sophie Martinbeault also in contention. Recent candidate nominations, including Gagnon's May 2026 PQ investiture victory, have set the field ahead of the October 5 election, while updated provincial projections show narrow margins driven by shifting voter preferences across parties in Centre-du-Québec. Incumbency advantages for Martel, PQ organizational strength in the riding, and broader provincial dynamics around the CAQ government continue to keep probabilities closely balanced, with separation likely hinging on the fall campaign launch, local turnout patterns, and any late shifts in Quebec-wide polling.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоDonald Martel 84%
Sophie Martinbeault 83%
Guillaume Langlois 83%
Jérôme Gagnon 42%

Donald Martel
84%

Sophie Martinbeault
83%

Guillaume Langlois
83%

Jérôme Gagnon
42%
Donald Martel 84%
Sophie Martinbeault 83%
Guillaume Langlois 83%
Jérôme Gagnon 42%

Donald Martel
84%

Sophie Martinbeault
83%

Guillaume Langlois
83%

Jérôme Gagnon
42%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Джерело вирішення
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...In the Nicolet-Bécancour riding, trader consensus reflects a tight three-way contest among incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA Donald Martel, Parti Québécois candidate Jérôme Gagnon, and Conservative Party of Québec nominee Guillaume Langlois, with the Liberal candidate Sophie Martinbeault also in contention. Recent candidate nominations, including Gagnon's May 2026 PQ investiture victory, have set the field ahead of the October 5 election, while updated provincial projections show narrow margins driven by shifting voter preferences across parties in Centre-du-Québec. Incumbency advantages for Martel, PQ organizational strength in the riding, and broader provincial dynamics around the CAQ government continue to keep probabilities closely balanced, with separation likely hinging on the fall campaign launch, local turnout patterns, and any late shifts in Quebec-wide polling.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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