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icon for Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Технологія·AI

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

icon for Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Технологія·AI

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Oct 1

Nov 1

Jan 1, 2027

Oct 1

Nov 1

Jan 1, 2027

Anthropic 84%

OpenAI 13.9%

Google 2.1%

Meta <1%

Polymarket

$2,353,595 Обс.

Anthropic 84%

OpenAI 13.9%

Google 2.1%

Meta <1%

Polymarket

$2,353,595 Обс.

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$507,921 Обс.

84%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$414,539 Обс.

14%

icon for Google

Google

$222,449 Обс.

2%

icon for Meta

Meta

$286,194 Обс.

<1%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$217,230 Обс.

<1%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$150,567 Обс.

<1%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$70,811 Обс.

<1%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$33,925 Обс.

<1%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$100,219 Обс.

<1%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$33,423 Обс.

<1%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$77,310 Обс.

<1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$19,219 Обс.

<1%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$47,425 Обс.

<1%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$18,539 Обс.

<1%

icon for Thinky

Thinky

$14,148 Обс.

<1%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$23,406 Обс.

<1%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$25,591 Обс.

<1%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$18,597 Обс.

<1%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$12,889 Обс.

<1%

icon for StepFun

StepFun

$21,501 Обс.

<1%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$37,694 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's commanding 83.5% market-implied probability reflects trader consensus around its recent Claude model updates, which have posted leading results on key benchmarks for reasoning, coding, and multimodal tasks relative to OpenAI, Google, and others. Strong performance in third-party evaluations and consistent capability gains have positioned the company ahead in competitive positioning among frontier labs. Lower odds for OpenAI at 13.7% and Google at 2.1% align with perceptions of slower recent progress or integration-focused releases rather than outright benchmark leadership. With resolution at the end of September just weeks away, any new model drops, safety reports, or capability demonstrations could still influence final sentiment before the market settles.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$2,353,595
Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's commanding 83.5% market-implied probability reflects trader consensus around its recent Claude model updates, which have posted leading results on key benchmarks for reasoning, coding, and multimodal tasks relative to OpenAI, Google, and others. Strong performance in third-party evaluations and consistent capability gains have positioned the company ahead in competitive positioning among frontier labs. Lower odds for OpenAI at 13.7% and Google at 2.1% align with perceptions of slower recent progress or integration-focused releases rather than outright benchmark leadership. With resolution at the end of September just weeks away, any new model drops, safety reports, or capability demonstrations could still influence final sentiment before the market settles.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$2,353,595
Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

icon for Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?

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icon for Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?

76%
icon for Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

77%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Which company has the best AI model end of September?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 21 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Anthropic» з 84%, далі «OpenAI» з 14%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Which company has the best AI model end of September?» згенерував $2.4 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 20, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Which company has the best AI model end of September?», перегляньте 21 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Which company has the best AI model end of September?» — «Anthropic» з 84%. Наступний — «OpenAI» з 14%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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