Recent U.S.-Venezuela energy agreements, including U.S. stakes in fields holding 65 billion barrels of reserves and rights to purchase output at cost, have driven trader focus on potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve inflows. The SPR stands near a 44-year low at roughly 290 million barrels after prior releases tied to supply disruptions. Energy Secretary Chris Wright outlined a swap mechanism to exchange Venezuelan heavy, high-sulfur crude for U.S. light or medium grades compatible with SPR caverns, with White House comments pointing to possible deliveries as early as November. However, Venezuelan production ramp-up timelines, infrastructure constraints, and quality mismatches create substantial near-term hurdles, keeping market-implied odds sensitive to policy execution and upcoming energy data releases.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
September 30
3%
December 31
15%
$1,910 Обс.
September 30
$856 Обс.
3%
December 31
$1,053 Обс.
15%
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-Venezuela energy agreements, including U.S. stakes in fields holding 65 billion barrels of reserves and rights to purchase output at cost, have driven trader focus on potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve inflows. The SPR stands near a 44-year low at roughly 290 million barrels after prior releases tied to supply disruptions. Energy Secretary Chris Wright outlined a swap mechanism to exchange Venezuelan heavy, high-sulfur crude for U.S. light or medium grades compatible with SPR caverns, with White House comments pointing to possible deliveries as early as November. However, Venezuelan production ramp-up timelines, infrastructure constraints, and quality mismatches create substantial near-term hurdles, keeping market-implied odds sensitive to policy execution and upcoming energy data releases.
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,910Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-Venezuela energy agreements, including U.S. stakes in fields holding 65 billion barrels of reserves and rights to purchase output at cost, have driven trader focus on potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve inflows. The SPR stands near a 44-year low at roughly 290 million barrels after prior releases tied to supply disruptions. Energy Secretary Chris Wright outlined a swap mechanism to exchange Venezuelan heavy, high-sulfur crude for U.S. light or medium grades compatible with SPR caverns, with White House comments pointing to possible deliveries as early as November. However, Venezuelan production ramp-up timelines, infrastructure constraints, and quality mismatches create substantial near-term hurdles, keeping market-implied odds sensitive to policy execution and upcoming energy data releases.
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,910Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-Venezuela energy agreements, including U.S. stakes in fields holding 65 billion barrels of reserves and rights to purchase output at cost, have driven trader focus on potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve inflows. The SPR stands near a 44-year low at roughly 290 million barrels after prior releases tied to supply disruptions. Energy Secretary Chris Wright outlined a swap mechanism to exchange Venezuelan heavy, high-sulfur crude for U.S. light or medium grades compatible with SPR caverns, with White House comments pointing to possible deliveries as early as November. However, Venezuelan production ramp-up timelines, infrastructure constraints, and quality mismatches create substantial near-term hurdles, keeping market-implied odds sensitive to policy execution and upcoming energy data releases.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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