Venezuelan crude production has stabilized near 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day in 2026 following U.S. sanctions relief and the January political transition, with OPEC secondary-source data showing a modest year-over-year increase driven by selective license expansions for operators like Chevron. Output remains constrained by decades of underinvestment in PDVSA infrastructure, requiring an estimated $14–18 billion in upstream capital expenditures over several years to sustain gains beyond 1.3–1.5 million bpd. Analyst scenarios from firms such as Goldman Sachs and the Institute of International Finance highlight that further expansion hinges on sustained foreign direct investment, royalty stability under new legislation capping rates at 30%, and global crude prices supporting project economics amid ongoing operational and maintenance challenges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$182,397 Обс.
Feb 27, 2027
1.2m
64%
1.3m
21%
1.4m
9%
1.5m
6%
1.7m
3%
2m
2%
$182,397 Обс.
1.2m
$10,444 Обс.
64%
1.3m
$7,721 Обс.
21%
1.4m
$19,774 Обс.
9%
1.5m
$9,719 Обс.
6%
1.7m
$58,787 Обс.
3%
2m
$16,314 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuelan crude production has stabilized near 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day in 2026 following U.S. sanctions relief and the January political transition, with OPEC secondary-source data showing a modest year-over-year increase driven by selective license expansions for operators like Chevron. Output remains constrained by decades of underinvestment in PDVSA infrastructure, requiring an estimated $14–18 billion in upstream capital expenditures over several years to sustain gains beyond 1.3–1.5 million bpd. Analyst scenarios from firms such as Goldman Sachs and the Institute of International Finance highlight that further expansion hinges on sustained foreign direct investment, royalty stability under new legislation capping rates at 30%, and global crude prices supporting project economics amid ongoing operational and maintenance challenges.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$182,397Дата завершення
Feb 28, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuelan crude production has stabilized near 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day in 2026 following U.S. sanctions relief and the January political transition, with OPEC secondary-source data showing a modest year-over-year increase driven by selective license expansions for operators like Chevron. Output remains constrained by decades of underinvestment in PDVSA infrastructure, requiring an estimated $14–18 billion in upstream capital expenditures over several years to sustain gains beyond 1.3–1.5 million bpd. Analyst scenarios from firms such as Goldman Sachs and the Institute of International Finance highlight that further expansion hinges on sustained foreign direct investment, royalty stability under new legislation capping rates at 30%, and global crude prices supporting project economics amid ongoing operational and maintenance challenges.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Обсяг
$182,397Дата завершення
Feb 28, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Venezuelan crude production has stabilized near 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day in 2026 following U.S. sanctions relief and the January political transition, with OPEC secondary-source data showing a modest year-over-year increase driven by selective license expansions for operators like Chevron. Output remains constrained by decades of underinvestment in PDVSA infrastructure, requiring an estimated $14–18 billion in upstream capital expenditures over several years to sustain gains beyond 1.3–1.5 million bpd. Analyst scenarios from firms such as Goldman Sachs and the Institute of International Finance highlight that further expansion hinges on sustained foreign direct investment, royalty stability under new legislation capping rates at 30%, and global crude prices supporting project economics amid ongoing operational and maintenance challenges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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