The Trump administration has maintained a maximum pressure campaign on Cuba since January 2026, imposing an oil blockade after the U.S. intervention in Venezuela cut off Havana’s primary fuel supplier. Executive orders have authorized tariffs on third-country oil providers, sanctions on state-owned Cupet, and additional restrictions on energy and related sectors, with the stated goal of extracting concessions or prompting policy shifts. Limited Treasury licenses have permitted some private-sector Venezuelan oil resales, yet overall enforcement has tightened amid Cuba’s energy crisis and blackouts. Diplomatic signals remain sparse, with Russia and Mexico exploring workarounds and the UN highlighting humanitarian effects. Any relief announcement would require a clear shift in bilateral talks or U.S. licensing policy within the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$46,696 Обс.
September 30
17%
December 31
31%
$46,696 Обс.
September 30
17%
December 31
31%
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 22, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration has maintained a maximum pressure campaign on Cuba since January 2026, imposing an oil blockade after the U.S. intervention in Venezuela cut off Havana’s primary fuel supplier. Executive orders have authorized tariffs on third-country oil providers, sanctions on state-owned Cupet, and additional restrictions on energy and related sectors, with the stated goal of extracting concessions or prompting policy shifts. Limited Treasury licenses have permitted some private-sector Venezuelan oil resales, yet overall enforcement has tightened amid Cuba’s energy crisis and blackouts. Diplomatic signals remain sparse, with Russia and Mexico exploring workarounds and the UN highlighting humanitarian effects. Any relief announcement would require a clear shift in bilateral talks or U.S. licensing policy within the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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