Elon Musk's posting pace on X has moderated into a mid-range band for the August 22–24 window, positioning the 40–64 bracket as the clear market leader at roughly 51.5% implied probability. Traders appear to be pricing in a return to baseline volume after elevated activity in the preceding Aug 20–22 period, where daily counts frequently exceeded 30 posts amid ongoing company updates and platform commentary. Historical patterns show Musk's output fluctuates sharply with news cycles, Tesla or SpaceX milestones, and cultural flashpoints, yet no major catalysts have surfaced in the current stretch to drive sustained spikes. The market's secondary weighting on sub-40 outcomes further reflects expectations of a quieter weekend close, with any late announcements or viral moments serving as the primary swing factors before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено40-64 52%
<40 32%
65-89 17%
90-114 2.5%
$217,173 Обс.
$217,173 Обс.
Aug 24, 2026
<40
32%
40-64
52%
65-89
17%
90-114
2%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 52%
<40 32%
65-89 17%
90-114 2.5%
$217,173 Обс.
$217,173 Обс.
Aug 24, 2026
<40
$30,787 Обс.
32%
40-64
$24,101 Обс.
52%
65-89
$17,911 Обс.
17%
90-114
$30,375 Обс.
2%
115-139
$42,274 Обс.
1%
140-164
$16,522 Обс.
<1%
165-189
$28,187 Обс.
1%
190-214
$14,520 Обс.
<1%
215-239
$8,044 Обс.
<1%
240+
$4,452 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's posting pace on X has moderated into a mid-range band for the August 22–24 window, positioning the 40–64 bracket as the clear market leader at roughly 51.5% implied probability. Traders appear to be pricing in a return to baseline volume after elevated activity in the preceding Aug 20–22 period, where daily counts frequently exceeded 30 posts amid ongoing company updates and platform commentary. Historical patterns show Musk's output fluctuates sharply with news cycles, Tesla or SpaceX milestones, and cultural flashpoints, yet no major catalysts have surfaced in the current stretch to drive sustained spikes. The market's secondary weighting on sub-40 outcomes further reflects expectations of a quieter weekend close, with any late announcements or viral moments serving as the primary swing factors before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$217,173Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's posting pace on X has moderated into a mid-range band for the August 22–24 window, positioning the 40–64 bracket as the clear market leader at roughly 51.5% implied probability. Traders appear to be pricing in a return to baseline volume after elevated activity in the preceding Aug 20–22 period, where daily counts frequently exceeded 30 posts amid ongoing company updates and platform commentary. Historical patterns show Musk's output fluctuates sharply with news cycles, Tesla or SpaceX milestones, and cultural flashpoints, yet no major catalysts have surfaced in the current stretch to drive sustained spikes. The market's secondary weighting on sub-40 outcomes further reflects expectations of a quieter weekend close, with any late announcements or viral moments serving as the primary swing factors before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$217,173Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's posting pace on X has moderated into a mid-range band for the August 22–24 window, positioning the 40–64 bracket as the clear market leader at roughly 51.5% implied probability. Traders appear to be pricing in a return to baseline volume after elevated activity in the preceding Aug 20–22 period, where daily counts frequently exceeded 30 posts amid ongoing company updates and platform commentary. Historical patterns show Musk's output fluctuates sharply with news cycles, Tesla or SpaceX milestones, and cultural flashpoints, yet no major catalysts have surfaced in the current stretch to drive sustained spikes. The market's secondary weighting on sub-40 outcomes further reflects expectations of a quieter weekend close, with any late announcements or viral moments serving as the primary swing factors before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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