Spider-Man: Brand New Day's third weekend haul of roughly $70–71 million domestically (-51% drop from its second frame) has anchored trader expectations for the fourth weekend around the $35–41 million range. Strong legs through its first three weekends, including a domestic total nearing $790 million and a global gross surpassing $2 billion in under three weeks, reflect sustained audience demand and favorable word-of-mouth that has outpaced most recent superhero entries. Back-to-school timing and competition from holdovers like The Odyssey and new releases such as Insidious: Out of the Further introduce downside pressure on the hold percentage, while the film's record-setting opening and consistent top ranking support resilience. Traders are closely weighing these dynamics against historical fourth-weekend declines for comparable tentpoles, with the market-implied odds reflecting a tightly contested outlook rather than a clear frontrunner.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office
35-38m 40%
38-41m 38%
41-44m 28%
44m+ 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
<35m
11%
35-38m
40%
38-41m
38%
41-44m
28%
44m+
14%
35-38m 40%
38-41m 38%
41-44m 28%
44m+ 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
<35m
$2,685 Обс.
11%
35-38m
$0 Обс.
40%
38-41m
$0 Обс.
38%
41-44m
$0 Обс.
28%
44m+
$5 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's third weekend haul of roughly $70–71 million domestically (-51% drop from its second frame) has anchored trader expectations for the fourth weekend around the $35–41 million range. Strong legs through its first three weekends, including a domestic total nearing $790 million and a global gross surpassing $2 billion in under three weeks, reflect sustained audience demand and favorable word-of-mouth that has outpaced most recent superhero entries. Back-to-school timing and competition from holdovers like The Odyssey and new releases such as Insidious: Out of the Further introduce downside pressure on the hold percentage, while the film's record-setting opening and consistent top ranking support resilience. Traders are closely weighing these dynamics against historical fourth-weekend declines for comparable tentpoles, with the market-implied odds reflecting a tightly contested outlook rather than a clear frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,690Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 3:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's third weekend haul of roughly $70–71 million domestically (-51% drop from its second frame) has anchored trader expectations for the fourth weekend around the $35–41 million range. Strong legs through its first three weekends, including a domestic total nearing $790 million and a global gross surpassing $2 billion in under three weeks, reflect sustained audience demand and favorable word-of-mouth that has outpaced most recent superhero entries. Back-to-school timing and competition from holdovers like The Odyssey and new releases such as Insidious: Out of the Further introduce downside pressure on the hold percentage, while the film's record-setting opening and consistent top ranking support resilience. Traders are closely weighing these dynamics against historical fourth-weekend declines for comparable tentpoles, with the market-implied odds reflecting a tightly contested outlook rather than a clear frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Обсяг
$2,690Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 3:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day's third weekend haul of roughly $70–71 million domestically (-51% drop from its second frame) has anchored trader expectations for the fourth weekend around the $35–41 million range. Strong legs through its first three weekends, including a domestic total nearing $790 million and a global gross surpassing $2 billion in under three weeks, reflect sustained audience demand and favorable word-of-mouth that has outpaced most recent superhero entries. Back-to-school timing and competition from holdovers like The Odyssey and new releases such as Insidious: Out of the Further introduce downside pressure on the hold percentage, while the film's record-setting opening and consistent top ranking support resilience. Traders are closely weighing these dynamics against historical fourth-weekend declines for comparable tentpoles, with the market-implied odds reflecting a tightly contested outlook rather than a clear frontrunner.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання