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Економ·CPI

September Inflation US - Annual

icon for September Inflation US - Annual
Економ·CPI

September Inflation US - Annual

Oct 15

Oct 15

3.5% 33%

3.6% 30%

3.4% 21%

3.7% 9%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

3.5% 33%

3.6% 30%

3.4% 21%

3.7% 9%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

≤2.9%

$83 Обс.

3%

3.0%

$67 Обс.

4%

3.1%

$64 Обс.

4%

3.2%

$87 Обс.

5%

3.3%

$345 Обс.

3%

3.4%

$616 Обс.

21%

3.5%

$1,138 Обс.

33%

3.6%

$725 Обс.

30%

3.7%

$309 Обс.

9%

3.8%

$54 Обс.

5%

3.9%

$288 Обс.

1%

≥4.0%

$129 Обс.

3%

This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, driven by a 3.9% monthly gasoline surge and 2.1% energy increase, along with the Cleveland Fed's 3.43% nowcast for September, anchor trader positioning around 3.5-3.6% outcomes for the September 2026 annual rate. Elevated oil prices, shelter persistence, and rising one-year consumer inflation expectations to 4.6% amid trade tensions introduce upside risks, while core trends near 2.4% and seasonal moderation could cap readings. The tight spread between leading probabilities reflects uncertainty over energy volatility versus goods deflation, with the October 14 release serving as the key catalyst. Market-implied odds aggregate capital-weighted views on these near-term data dynamics.

This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$3,906
Дата завершення
Oct 15, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, driven by a 3.9% monthly gasoline surge and 2.1% energy increase, along with the Cleveland Fed's 3.43% nowcast for September, anchor trader positioning around 3.5-3.6% outcomes for the September 2026 annual rate. Elevated oil prices, shelter persistence, and rising one-year consumer inflation expectations to 4.6% amid trade tensions introduce upside risks, while core trends near 2.4% and seasonal moderation could cap readings. The tight spread between leading probabilities reflects uncertainty over energy volatility versus goods deflation, with the October 14 release serving as the key catalyst. Market-implied odds aggregate capital-weighted views on these near-term data dynamics.

This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$3,906
Дата завершення
Oct 15, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

icon for Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?

36%
icon for Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?

Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?

40%
icon for Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?

27%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«September Inflation US - Annual» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 12 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «3.5%» з 33%, далі «3.6%» з 30%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«September Inflation US - Annual» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Sep 11, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «September Inflation US - Annual», перегляньте 12 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «September Inflation US - Annual» — «3.5%» з 33%. Наступний — «3.6%» з 30%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «September Inflation US - Annual» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.