Recent June 2026 CPI data at 5.0% year-on-year, driven by fuel and transport costs amid geopolitical energy pressures, has lifted the 2026 annual average outlook and aligned trader consensus with the South African Reserve Bank's May forecast of 4.4% headline inflation for the year. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 4.1-4.7%, reflecting uncertainty over whether moderating fuel prices, rand stability, and subdued food inflation will pull the full-year average toward the lower end or sustain upward momentum from core pressures near 4.1%. SARB's path to a 3% target by 2028 and analyst projections around 3.4% for 2027 provide counterbalance, leaving resolution sensitive to upcoming monthly releases and policy communications.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
4.1-4.4% 29.6%
4.4-4.7% 22.1%
3.8-4.1% 13.8%
>5.0% 8.9%
$39,925 Обс.
$39,925 Обс.
Jan 19, 2027
<2.6%
<1%
2.6-2.9%
<1%
2.9-3.2%
4%
3.2-3.5%
3%
3.5-3.8%
5%
3.8-4.1%
14%
4.1-4.4%
30%
4.4-4.7%
22%
4.7-5.0%
8%
>5.0%
9%
4.1-4.4% 29.6%
4.4-4.7% 22.1%
3.8-4.1% 13.8%
>5.0% 8.9%
$39,925 Обс.
$39,925 Обс.
Jan 19, 2027
<2.6%
$1,219 Обс.
<1%
2.6-2.9%
$1,854 Обс.
<1%
2.9-3.2%
$1,564 Обс.
4%
3.2-3.5%
$1,245 Обс.
3%
3.5-3.8%
$1,798 Обс.
5%
3.8-4.1%
$3,106 Обс.
14%
4.1-4.4%
$2,590 Обс.
30%
4.4-4.7%
$14,940 Обс.
22%
4.7-5.0%
$3,372 Обс.
8%
>5.0%
$8,236 Обс.
9%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent June 2026 CPI data at 5.0% year-on-year, driven by fuel and transport costs amid geopolitical energy pressures, has lifted the 2026 annual average outlook and aligned trader consensus with the South African Reserve Bank's May forecast of 4.4% headline inflation for the year. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 4.1-4.7%, reflecting uncertainty over whether moderating fuel prices, rand stability, and subdued food inflation will pull the full-year average toward the lower end or sustain upward momentum from core pressures near 4.1%. SARB's path to a 3% target by 2028 and analyst projections around 3.4% for 2027 provide counterbalance, leaving resolution sensitive to upcoming monthly releases and policy communications.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Ринок відкрито: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Обсяг
$39,925Дата завершення
Jan 20, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent June 2026 CPI data at 5.0% year-on-year, driven by fuel and transport costs amid geopolitical energy pressures, has lifted the 2026 annual average outlook and aligned trader consensus with the South African Reserve Bank's May forecast of 4.4% headline inflation for the year. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 4.1-4.7%, reflecting uncertainty over whether moderating fuel prices, rand stability, and subdued food inflation will pull the full-year average toward the lower end or sustain upward momentum from core pressures near 4.1%. SARB's path to a 3% target by 2028 and analyst projections around 3.4% for 2027 provide counterbalance, leaving resolution sensitive to upcoming monthly releases and policy communications.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Обсяг
$39,925Дата завершення
Jan 20, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent June 2026 CPI data at 5.0% year-on-year, driven by fuel and transport costs amid geopolitical energy pressures, has lifted the 2026 annual average outlook and aligned trader consensus with the South African Reserve Bank's May forecast of 4.4% headline inflation for the year. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 4.1-4.7%, reflecting uncertainty over whether moderating fuel prices, rand stability, and subdued food inflation will pull the full-year average toward the lower end or sustain upward momentum from core pressures near 4.1%. SARB's path to a 3% target by 2028 and analyst projections around 3.4% for 2027 provide counterbalance, leaving resolution sensitive to upcoming monthly releases and policy communications.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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