Recent July 2026 core CPI readings at 1.8% year-over-year, following 1.6% in June, remain below the Bank of Japan's 2% target amid energy subsidies and softening food pressures, while the measure excluding fresh food and energy rose to 1.9%. Tokyo's August core CPI at 1.8% signals steady but contained underlying trends, consistent with BOJ projections for gradual convergence toward 2% in the second half of fiscal 2026 amid wage-price dynamics and yen depreciation. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, with the ≤1.9% outcome edging ahead on recent data prints and policy accommodation, versus the 2.0-2.4% band supported by expectations of broadening pass-through from services and commodities. Key near-term catalysts include the September BOJ policy meeting and August national CPI release, which could clarify whether persistent demand-driven pressures push the 2026 annual figure above or below the 2% threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено≤1.9% 53.0%
2.0-2.4% 46%
2.5-2.9% 1.4%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$40,586 Обс.
$40,586 Обс.
Jan 22, 2027
≤1.9%
53%
2.0-2.4%
46%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
<1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
≤1.9% 53.0%
2.0-2.4% 46%
2.5-2.9% 1.4%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$40,586 Обс.
$40,586 Обс.
Jan 22, 2027
≤1.9%
$19,202 Обс.
53%
2.0-2.4%
$11,371 Обс.
46%
2.5-2.9%
$5,548 Обс.
1%
3.0-3.4%
$1,661 Обс.
<1%
3.5-3.9%
$1,253 Обс.
<1%
4.0%+
$1,551 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent July 2026 core CPI readings at 1.8% year-over-year, following 1.6% in June, remain below the Bank of Japan's 2% target amid energy subsidies and softening food pressures, while the measure excluding fresh food and energy rose to 1.9%. Tokyo's August core CPI at 1.8% signals steady but contained underlying trends, consistent with BOJ projections for gradual convergence toward 2% in the second half of fiscal 2026 amid wage-price dynamics and yen depreciation. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, with the ≤1.9% outcome edging ahead on recent data prints and policy accommodation, versus the 2.0-2.4% band supported by expectations of broadening pass-through from services and commodities. Key near-term catalysts include the September BOJ policy meeting and August national CPI release, which could clarify whether persistent demand-driven pressures push the 2026 annual figure above or below the 2% threshold.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Обсяг
$40,586Дата завершення
Jan 22, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent July 2026 core CPI readings at 1.8% year-over-year, following 1.6% in June, remain below the Bank of Japan's 2% target amid energy subsidies and softening food pressures, while the measure excluding fresh food and energy rose to 1.9%. Tokyo's August core CPI at 1.8% signals steady but contained underlying trends, consistent with BOJ projections for gradual convergence toward 2% in the second half of fiscal 2026 amid wage-price dynamics and yen depreciation. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, with the ≤1.9% outcome edging ahead on recent data prints and policy accommodation, versus the 2.0-2.4% band supported by expectations of broadening pass-through from services and commodities. Key near-term catalysts include the September BOJ policy meeting and August national CPI release, which could clarify whether persistent demand-driven pressures push the 2026 annual figure above or below the 2% threshold.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Обсяг
$40,586Дата завершення
Jan 22, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 core CPI readings at 1.8% year-over-year, following 1.6% in June, remain below the Bank of Japan's 2% target amid energy subsidies and softening food pressures, while the measure excluding fresh food and energy rose to 1.9%. Tokyo's August core CPI at 1.8% signals steady but contained underlying trends, consistent with BOJ projections for gradual convergence toward 2% in the second half of fiscal 2026 amid wage-price dynamics and yen depreciation. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, with the ≤1.9% outcome edging ahead on recent data prints and policy accommodation, versus the 2.0-2.4% band supported by expectations of broadening pass-through from services and commodities. Key near-term catalysts include the September BOJ policy meeting and August national CPI release, which could clarify whether persistent demand-driven pressures push the 2026 annual figure above or below the 2% threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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