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Політика·Канада

Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner

icon for Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner
Політика·Канада

Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner

Fatima Shaban 50%

Ahsanul Hafiz 47%

Noor Tarun <1%

Mark Bekkering <1%

Polymarket

$14,856 Обс.

Fatima Shaban 50%

Ahsanul Hafiz 47%

Noor Tarun <1%

Mark Bekkering <1%

Polymarket

$14,856 Обс.

icon for Fatima Shaban

Fatima Shaban

$6,712 Обс.

50%

icon for Ahsanul Hafiz

Ahsanul Hafiz

$6,352 Обс.

47%

icon for Noor Tarun

Noor Tarun

$607 Обс.

1%

icon for Mark Bekkering

Mark Bekkering

$611 Обс.

<1%

icon for Chris Rees

Chris Rees

$574 Обс.

<1%

A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).The Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election on September 3, 2026, features a tight contest among NDP nominee Fatima Shaban, a community organizer and tenant advocate; Liberal candidate Ahsanul Hafiz, a local businessman; and Progressive Conservative Dr. Noor Tarun, a family physician. The vacancy stems from former NDP MPP Doly Begum’s February resignation to run federally as a Liberal, leaving the historically NDP-held Toronto riding open in a short campaign with seven candidates confirmed after nominations closed August 20. Trader pricing reflects the closely matched top contenders amid limited recent public polling, local demographic factors, and the impact of concurrent advance voting from August 26-28. Separation could emerge from final-week turnout patterns, any late endorsements, or visibility in advance polls, as the outcome hinges on which party best consolidates support in this diverse urban district.

A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Обсяг
$14,856
Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 5:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).The Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election on September 3, 2026, features a tight contest among NDP nominee Fatima Shaban, a community organizer and tenant advocate; Liberal candidate Ahsanul Hafiz, a local businessman; and Progressive Conservative Dr. Noor Tarun, a family physician. The vacancy stems from former NDP MPP Doly Begum’s February resignation to run federally as a Liberal, leaving the historically NDP-held Toronto riding open in a short campaign with seven candidates confirmed after nominations closed August 20. Trader pricing reflects the closely matched top contenders amid limited recent public polling, local demographic factors, and the impact of concurrent advance voting from August 26-28. Separation could emerge from final-week turnout patterns, any late endorsements, or visibility in advance polls, as the outcome hinges on which party best consolidates support in this diverse urban district.

A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Обсяг
$14,856
Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 5:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Fatima Shaban» з 50%, далі «Ahsanul Hafiz» з 47%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner» згенерував $14.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Aug 20, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner» — «Fatima Shaban» з 50%. Наступний — «Ahsanul Hafiz» з 47%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.