Russia's September 18–20 State Duma elections occur under a tightly controlled political system where United Russia, backed by President Vladimir Putin, holds structural advantages through the mixed electoral system of party lists and single-member districts. The party benefits from alignment with official foreign policy priorities, extensive organizational resources, and the barring of the main anti-war party Yabloko from the federal ballot. State polling shows United Russia leading by a wide margin, while other registered parties largely support core government positions. Trader consensus at 99% for United Russia reflects these institutional barriers and the absence of viable challengers; shifts would require major unforeseen disruptions such as abrupt policy reversals or eligibility rulings within the narrow voting window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПереможець парламентських виборів у Росії
Переможець парламентських виборів у Росії
Єдина Росія (ЄР) 99.0%
Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ) <1%
Нові люди (NL) <1%
Yabloko <1%
$3,731,425 Обс.
$3,731,425 Обс.
Sep 29, 2026
Єдина Росія (ЄР)
99%
Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ)
1%
Нові люди (NL)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
Справедлива Росія — За правду (СРЗП)
<1%
Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР)
<1%
Родіна
<1%
Громадянська платформа (ГП)
<1%
Єдина Росія (ЄР) 99.0%
Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ) <1%
Нові люди (NL) <1%
Yabloko <1%
$3,731,425 Обс.
$3,731,425 Обс.
Sep 29, 2026
Єдина Росія (ЄР)
$1,171,082 Обс.
99%
Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ)
$212,465 Обс.
1%
Нові люди (NL)
$166,881 Обс.
<1%
Yabloko
$70,388 Обс.
<1%
Справедлива Росія — За правду (СРЗП)
$742,252 Обс.
<1%
Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР)
$258,215 Обс.
<1%
Родіна
$505,710 Обс.
<1%
Громадянська платформа (ГП)
$604,433 Обс.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Russia's September 18–20 State Duma elections occur under a tightly controlled political system where United Russia, backed by President Vladimir Putin, holds structural advantages through the mixed electoral system of party lists and single-member districts. The party benefits from alignment with official foreign policy priorities, extensive organizational resources, and the barring of the main anti-war party Yabloko from the federal ballot. State polling shows United Russia leading by a wide margin, while other registered parties largely support core government positions. Trader consensus at 99% for United Russia reflects these institutional barriers and the absence of viable challengers; shifts would require major unforeseen disruptions such as abrupt policy reversals or eligibility rulings within the narrow voting window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,731,425Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Russia's September 18–20 State Duma elections occur under a tightly controlled political system where United Russia, backed by President Vladimir Putin, holds structural advantages through the mixed electoral system of party lists and single-member districts. The party benefits from alignment with official foreign policy priorities, extensive organizational resources, and the barring of the main anti-war party Yabloko from the federal ballot. State polling shows United Russia leading by a wide margin, while other registered parties largely support core government positions. Trader consensus at 99% for United Russia reflects these institutional barriers and the absence of viable challengers; shifts would require major unforeseen disruptions such as abrupt policy reversals or eligibility rulings within the narrow voting window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Обсяг
$3,731,425Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Russia's September 18–20 State Duma elections occur under a tightly controlled political system where United Russia, backed by President Vladimir Putin, holds structural advantages through the mixed electoral system of party lists and single-member districts. The party benefits from alignment with official foreign policy priorities, extensive organizational resources, and the barring of the main anti-war party Yabloko from the federal ballot. State polling shows United Russia leading by a wide margin, while other registered parties largely support core government positions. Trader consensus at 99% for United Russia reflects these institutional barriers and the absence of viable challengers; shifts would require major unforeseen disruptions such as abrupt policy reversals or eligibility rulings within the narrow voting window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПов'язане
Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
46%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
56%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
92%
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання