Republicans currently hold a narrow 218-212 House majority entering the 2026 midterms, with Democrats needing only a small net gain to flip control amid a historically challenging environment for the president's party. Recent generic ballot polling shows Democrats ahead by roughly six points, while Cook Political Report ratings reflect rough parity after mid-decade redistricting in states including Texas and California adjusted the map. High Republican retirements, 19 toss-up districts, and roughly two dozen additional competitive seats create volatility in seat projections. Trader consensus on specific Republican totals remains dispersed because outcomes hinge on national conditions through November, candidate recruitment in battlegrounds, and turnout patterns that could produce swings of 10-15 seats in either direction.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоRepublican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Below 190 24%
190-194 13%
195-199 12%
200-204 11.6%
$286,502 Обс.
$286,502 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Below 190
24%
190-194
13%
195-199
12%
200-204
12%
205-209
11%
210-214
9%
215-219
7%
220-224
8%
225-229
8%
230+
4%
Below 190 24%
190-194 13%
195-199 12%
200-204 11.6%
$286,502 Обс.
$286,502 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Below 190
$32,984 Обс.
24%
190-194
$13,778 Обс.
13%
195-199
$32,609 Обс.
12%
200-204
$24,750 Обс.
12%
205-209
$40,227 Обс.
11%
210-214
$15,669 Обс.
9%
215-219
$11,450 Обс.
7%
220-224
$59,267 Обс.
8%
225-229
$24,767 Обс.
8%
230+
$31,001 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold a narrow 218-212 House majority entering the 2026 midterms, with Democrats needing only a small net gain to flip control amid a historically challenging environment for the president's party. Recent generic ballot polling shows Democrats ahead by roughly six points, while Cook Political Report ratings reflect rough parity after mid-decade redistricting in states including Texas and California adjusted the map. High Republican retirements, 19 toss-up districts, and roughly two dozen additional competitive seats create volatility in seat projections. Trader consensus on specific Republican totals remains dispersed because outcomes hinge on national conditions through November, candidate recruitment in battlegrounds, and turnout patterns that could produce swings of 10-15 seats in either direction.
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$286,502Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold a narrow 218-212 House majority entering the 2026 midterms, with Democrats needing only a small net gain to flip control amid a historically challenging environment for the president's party. Recent generic ballot polling shows Democrats ahead by roughly six points, while Cook Political Report ratings reflect rough parity after mid-decade redistricting in states including Texas and California adjusted the map. High Republican retirements, 19 toss-up districts, and roughly two dozen additional competitive seats create volatility in seat projections. Trader consensus on specific Republican totals remains dispersed because outcomes hinge on national conditions through November, candidate recruitment in battlegrounds, and turnout patterns that could produce swings of 10-15 seats in either direction.
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$286,502Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold a narrow 218-212 House majority entering the 2026 midterms, with Democrats needing only a small net gain to flip control amid a historically challenging environment for the president's party. Recent generic ballot polling shows Democrats ahead by roughly six points, while Cook Political Report ratings reflect rough parity after mid-decade redistricting in states including Texas and California adjusted the map. High Republican retirements, 19 toss-up districts, and roughly two dozen additional competitive seats create volatility in seat projections. Trader consensus on specific Republican totals remains dispersed because outcomes hinge on national conditions through November, candidate recruitment in battlegrounds, and turnout patterns that could produce swings of 10-15 seats in either direction.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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