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Вибори·Main Election

Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

icon for Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Вибори·Main Election

Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Željka Cvijanović 87%

Marinko Božović 5.2%

Siniša Karan 3.0%

Branko Blanuša 1.6%

Polymarket

$32,076 Обс.

Željka Cvijanović 87%

Marinko Božović 5.2%

Siniša Karan 3.0%

Branko Blanuša 1.6%

Polymarket

$32,076 Обс.

icon for Željka Cvijanović

Željka Cvijanović

$27,074 Обс.

87%

icon for Marinko Božović

Marinko Božović

$300 Обс.

5%

icon for Siniša Karan

Siniša Karan

$1,410 Обс.

3%

icon for Branko Blanuša

Branko Blanuša

$1,068 Обс.

2%

icon for Draško Stanivuković

Draško Stanivuković

$939 Обс.

1%

icon for Nebojša Vukanović

Nebojša Vukanović

$1,286 Обс.

1%

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Željka Cvijanović, the incumbent Serb member of the Presidency and SNSD candidate backed by Milorad Dodik, leads the market at 87% due to her strong position within Republika Srpska’s ruling coalition ahead of the October 4, 2026 general election. Opposition parties reached a July 2026 agreement for a unified front, nominating Marinko Božović for the Serb seat while fielding Branko Blanuša and Draško Stanivuković in related races, yet this coordination has not significantly narrowed the gap. Siniša Karan, the current RS president and SNSD ally, and other listed challengers trail with limited polling traction. Trader consensus reflects SNSD’s entrenched electoral advantages in the entity, the high barriers for opposition consolidation, and the absence of major recent disruptions to the incumbent’s campaign.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$32,076
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Željka Cvijanović, the incumbent Serb member of the Presidency and SNSD candidate backed by Milorad Dodik, leads the market at 87% due to her strong position within Republika Srpska’s ruling coalition ahead of the October 4, 2026 general election. Opposition parties reached a July 2026 agreement for a unified front, nominating Marinko Božović for the Serb seat while fielding Branko Blanuša and Draško Stanivuković in related races, yet this coordination has not significantly narrowed the gap. Siniša Karan, the current RS president and SNSD ally, and other listed challengers trail with limited polling traction. Trader consensus reflects SNSD’s entrenched electoral advantages in the entity, the high barriers for opposition consolidation, and the absence of major recent disruptions to the incumbent’s campaign.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$32,076
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Željka Cvijanović» з 87%, далі «Marinko Božović» з 5%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?» згенерував $32.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 12, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?», перегляньте 6 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?» — «Željka Cvijanović» з 87%. Наступний — «Marinko Božović» з 5%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.