Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for New Hampshire’s open U.S. Senate seat on September 8 with roughly 62-65% of the vote against progressive challenger Karishma Manzur, producing a margin that aligns with the market’s leading outcome. Strong establishment backing, including endorsements from retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and other party figures, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $15 million, helped Pappas maintain broad support among primary voters. Manzur’s campaign, focused on progressive priorities and criticism of Israel policy, mobilized a notable share of the vote but fell short of closing the gap. With results now projected and largely consistent across reporting, trader consensus reflects limited scope for material revision absent final certification anomalies or recount developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPappas 30–35% 98.4%
Pappas 35–40% 2.8%
Pappas 20–25% 2.6%
Pappas 15–20% 2.6%
$6,161 Обс.
$6,161 Обс.
Sep 8, 2026
Pappas 40%+
2%
Pappas 35–40%
3%
Pappas 30–35%
98%
Pappas 25–30%
<1%
Pappas 20–25%
3%
Pappas 15–20%
3%
Pappas 10–15%
<1%
Pappas 5–10%
<1%
Pappas 0–5%
<1%
Manzur 0–5%
<1%
Manzur 5%+
<1%
Pappas 30–35% 98.4%
Pappas 35–40% 2.8%
Pappas 20–25% 2.6%
Pappas 15–20% 2.6%
$6,161 Обс.
$6,161 Обс.
Sep 8, 2026
Pappas 40%+
$1,739 Обс.
2%
Pappas 35–40%
$305 Обс.
3%
Pappas 30–35%
$470 Обс.
98%
Pappas 25–30%
$359 Обс.
<1%
Pappas 20–25%
$671 Обс.
3%
Pappas 15–20%
$787 Обс.
3%
Pappas 10–15%
$411 Обс.
<1%
Pappas 5–10%
$384 Обс.
<1%
Pappas 0–5%
$422 Обс.
<1%
Manzur 0–5%
$363 Обс.
<1%
Manzur 5%+
$250 Обс.
<1%
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for New Hampshire’s open U.S. Senate seat on September 8 with roughly 62-65% of the vote against progressive challenger Karishma Manzur, producing a margin that aligns with the market’s leading outcome. Strong establishment backing, including endorsements from retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and other party figures, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $15 million, helped Pappas maintain broad support among primary voters. Manzur’s campaign, focused on progressive priorities and criticism of Israel policy, mobilized a notable share of the vote but fell short of closing the gap. With results now projected and largely consistent across reporting, trader consensus reflects limited scope for material revision absent final certification anomalies or recount developments.
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,161Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for New Hampshire’s open U.S. Senate seat on September 8 with roughly 62-65% of the vote against progressive challenger Karishma Manzur, producing a margin that aligns with the market’s leading outcome. Strong establishment backing, including endorsements from retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and other party figures, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $15 million, helped Pappas maintain broad support among primary voters. Manzur’s campaign, focused on progressive priorities and criticism of Israel policy, mobilized a notable share of the vote but fell short of closing the gap. With results now projected and largely consistent across reporting, trader consensus reflects limited scope for material revision absent final certification anomalies or recount developments.
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
Обсяг
$6,161Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for New Hampshire’s open U.S. Senate seat on September 8 with roughly 62-65% of the vote against progressive challenger Karishma Manzur, producing a margin that aligns with the market’s leading outcome. Strong establishment backing, including endorsements from retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and other party figures, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $15 million, helped Pappas maintain broad support among primary voters. Manzur’s campaign, focused on progressive priorities and criticism of Israel policy, mobilized a notable share of the vote but fell short of closing the gap. With results now projected and largely consistent across reporting, trader consensus reflects limited scope for material revision absent final certification anomalies or recount developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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