Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to overnight lows in Panama City near 24–26°C on September 21, aligning with the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 53% implied probability. Persistent trade-wind moisture and widespread cloud cover typical of the September rainy season limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the isthmus, keeping minimum temperatures close to the climatological 24°C baseline. Latest model runs show only modest day-to-day variability, with no strong cold-air intrusions or clear-sky setups expected to push readings notably lower or allow the 30°C-or-higher outcome (39%) to dominate. Updated observations through September 19 confirm humidity levels above 80% and minimal wind, further supporting the current trader consensus around the 26°C threshold ahead of final resolution data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Panama City on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 21?
30°C or higher 70%
26°C 53%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
53%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
70%
30°C or higher 70%
26°C 53%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
21°C
$0 Обс.
1%
22°C
$0 Обс.
39%
23°C
$0 Обс.
39%
24°C
$0 Обс.
39%
25°C
$0 Обс.
39%
26°C
$46 Обс.
53%
27°C
$0 Обс.
40%
28°C
$0 Обс.
39%
29°C
$0 Обс.
39%
30°C or higher
$0 Обс.
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to overnight lows in Panama City near 24–26°C on September 21, aligning with the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 53% implied probability. Persistent trade-wind moisture and widespread cloud cover typical of the September rainy season limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the isthmus, keeping minimum temperatures close to the climatological 24°C baseline. Latest model runs show only modest day-to-day variability, with no strong cold-air intrusions or clear-sky setups expected to push readings notably lower or allow the 30°C-or-higher outcome (39%) to dominate. Updated observations through September 19 confirm humidity levels above 80% and minimal wind, further supporting the current trader consensus around the 26°C threshold ahead of final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$46Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 8:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to overnight lows in Panama City near 24–26°C on September 21, aligning with the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 53% implied probability. Persistent trade-wind moisture and widespread cloud cover typical of the September rainy season limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the isthmus, keeping minimum temperatures close to the climatological 24°C baseline. Latest model runs show only modest day-to-day variability, with no strong cold-air intrusions or clear-sky setups expected to push readings notably lower or allow the 30°C-or-higher outcome (39%) to dominate. Updated observations through September 19 confirm humidity levels above 80% and minimal wind, further supporting the current trader consensus around the 26°C threshold ahead of final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$46Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 8:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to overnight lows in Panama City near 24–26°C on September 21, aligning with the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 53% implied probability. Persistent trade-wind moisture and widespread cloud cover typical of the September rainy season limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the isthmus, keeping minimum temperatures close to the climatological 24°C baseline. Latest model runs show only modest day-to-day variability, with no strong cold-air intrusions or clear-sky setups expected to push readings notably lower or allow the 30°C-or-higher outcome (39%) to dominate. Updated observations through September 19 confirm humidity levels above 80% and minimal wind, further supporting the current trader consensus around the 26°C threshold ahead of final resolution data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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