Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and AccuWeather indicate Manila's overnight low on September 21 will likely fall near 24–26°C amid typical southwest monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80–90%, and persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Trader sentiment remains nearly evenly split between 31°C-or-higher and 21°C-or-below outcomes because small shifts in nocturnal cloud thickness, wind speed, or precipitation timing can alter the minimum by several degrees. Historical September lows average around 24–25°C, providing context for why markets assign comparable implied probabilities to both unusually warm and cool thresholds while specific values near 25°C attract steady interest ahead of updated model runs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Manila on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 21?
31°C or higher 89%
21°C or below 87%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
21°C or below
87%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
21%
26°C
30%
27°C
23%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C or higher
89%
31°C or higher 89%
21°C or below 87%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Обс.
87%
22°C
$0 Обс.
39%
23°C
$0 Обс.
39%
24°C
$0 Обс.
39%
25°C
$0 Обс.
21%
26°C
$0 Обс.
30%
27°C
$5 Обс.
23%
28°C
$0 Обс.
39%
29°C
$0 Обс.
39%
30°C
$0 Обс.
39%
31°C or higher
$0 Обс.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and AccuWeather indicate Manila's overnight low on September 21 will likely fall near 24–26°C amid typical southwest monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80–90%, and persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Trader sentiment remains nearly evenly split between 31°C-or-higher and 21°C-or-below outcomes because small shifts in nocturnal cloud thickness, wind speed, or precipitation timing can alter the minimum by several degrees. Historical September lows average around 24–25°C, providing context for why markets assign comparable implied probabilities to both unusually warm and cool thresholds while specific values near 25°C attract steady interest ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Обсяг
$5Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and AccuWeather indicate Manila's overnight low on September 21 will likely fall near 24–26°C amid typical southwest monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80–90%, and persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Trader sentiment remains nearly evenly split between 31°C-or-higher and 21°C-or-below outcomes because small shifts in nocturnal cloud thickness, wind speed, or precipitation timing can alter the minimum by several degrees. Historical September lows average around 24–25°C, providing context for why markets assign comparable implied probabilities to both unusually warm and cool thresholds while specific values near 25°C attract steady interest ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and AccuWeather indicate Manila's overnight low on September 21 will likely fall near 24–26°C amid typical southwest monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80–90%, and persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Trader sentiment remains nearly evenly split between 31°C-or-higher and 21°C-or-below outcomes because small shifts in nocturnal cloud thickness, wind speed, or precipitation timing can alter the minimum by several degrees. Historical September lows average around 24–25°C, providing context for why markets assign comparable implied probabilities to both unusually warm and cool thresholds while specific values near 25°C attract steady interest ahead of updated model runs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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