Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas indicate limited overnight cooling on September 20-21, with projected lows near 75-78°F driven by persistent southerly winds, elevated dew points, and partly to mostly cloudy skies amid a slight storm chance. This setup favors the market's leading 76-77°F bin by suppressing radiative cooling compared to typical September climatology around 68°F. Stronger southerly flow or thicker cloud cover could push outcomes toward 78-81°F, while clearer skies or a wind shift might allow dips into the low 70s. Model consensus remains tight on warm advection but carries uncertainty from exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture, keeping the distribution spread across mid-70s to low-80s ranges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Dallas on September 21?
78-79°F 40%
80-81°F 39%
76-77°F 30%
74-75°F 19%
67°F or below
5%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
10%
86°F or higher
7%
78-79°F 40%
80-81°F 39%
76-77°F 30%
74-75°F 19%
67°F or below
5%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
10%
86°F or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas indicate limited overnight cooling on September 20-21, with projected lows near 75-78°F driven by persistent southerly winds, elevated dew points, and partly to mostly cloudy skies amid a slight storm chance. This setup favors the market's leading 76-77°F bin by suppressing radiative cooling compared to typical September climatology around 68°F. Stronger southerly flow or thicker cloud cover could push outcomes toward 78-81°F, while clearer skies or a wind shift might allow dips into the low 70s. Model consensus remains tight on warm advection but carries uncertainty from exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture, keeping the distribution spread across mid-70s to low-80s ranges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання