Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate a high probability of a daily maximum temperature in Cape Town on September 21 falling between 26–30 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–29 °C reflecting consensus on light southerly flow, mostly clear skies, and modest daytime heating under a strengthening high-pressure ridge. Current surface observations show mild conditions with minimal cloud cover, supporting continued warming from the weekend into early next week before a possible shift in steering patterns. Official updates from the South African Weather Service and fresh runs of regional models will provide the next key data points for refining the exact peak value ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 21?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 21?
26°C 35%
30°C 35%
25°C 20%
28°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
20%
26°C
35%
27°C
16%
28°C
19%
29°C
19%
30°C
35%
31°C
17%
32°C or higher
12%
26°C 35%
30°C 35%
25°C 20%
28°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
23°C
$0 Обс.
4%
24°C
$6 Обс.
4%
25°C
$0 Обс.
20%
26°C
$0 Обс.
35%
27°C
$0 Обс.
16%
28°C
$0 Обс.
19%
29°C
$0 Обс.
19%
30°C
$0 Обс.
35%
31°C
$0 Обс.
17%
32°C or higher
$0 Обс.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate a high probability of a daily maximum temperature in Cape Town on September 21 falling between 26–30 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–29 °C reflecting consensus on light southerly flow, mostly clear skies, and modest daytime heating under a strengthening high-pressure ridge. Current surface observations show mild conditions with minimal cloud cover, supporting continued warming from the weekend into early next week before a possible shift in steering patterns. Official updates from the South African Weather Service and fresh runs of regional models will provide the next key data points for refining the exact peak value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$6Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate a high probability of a daily maximum temperature in Cape Town on September 21 falling between 26–30 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–29 °C reflecting consensus on light southerly flow, mostly clear skies, and modest daytime heating under a strengthening high-pressure ridge. Current surface observations show mild conditions with minimal cloud cover, supporting continued warming from the weekend into early next week before a possible shift in steering patterns. Official updates from the South African Weather Service and fresh runs of regional models will provide the next key data points for refining the exact peak value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate a high probability of a daily maximum temperature in Cape Town on September 21 falling between 26–30 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–29 °C reflecting consensus on light southerly flow, mostly clear skies, and modest daytime heating under a strengthening high-pressure ridge. Current surface observations show mild conditions with minimal cloud cover, supporting continued warming from the weekend into early next week before a possible shift in steering patterns. Official updates from the South African Weather Service and fresh runs of regional models will provide the next key data points for refining the exact peak value ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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