Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C for Cape Town on September 21, driven by persistent clear skies, light south-easterly winds, and above-average warmth extending from the current spell. This positions the 20°C-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 49% implied probability, well above the September climatological average low of roughly 9–11°C. Model consensus shows limited overnight cooling under stable high pressure, with daytime peaks reaching 25–28°C. Key upcoming updates from official agencies on the 20th will refine wind and humidity details that could nudge the final minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 21?
20°C or higher 90%
13°C 40%
15°C 40%
11°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
40%
14°C
27%
15°C
40%
16°C
20%
17°C
20%
18°C
11%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
90%
20°C or higher 90%
13°C 40%
15°C 40%
11°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
10°C or below
$120 Обс.
1%
11°C
$0 Обс.
39%
12°C
$0 Обс.
39%
13°C
$0 Обс.
40%
14°C
$0 Обс.
27%
15°C
$0 Обс.
40%
16°C
$0 Обс.
20%
17°C
$0 Обс.
20%
18°C
$26 Обс.
11%
19°C
$0 Обс.
8%
20°C or higher
$0 Обс.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C for Cape Town on September 21, driven by persistent clear skies, light south-easterly winds, and above-average warmth extending from the current spell. This positions the 20°C-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 49% implied probability, well above the September climatological average low of roughly 9–11°C. Model consensus shows limited overnight cooling under stable high pressure, with daytime peaks reaching 25–28°C. Key upcoming updates from official agencies on the 20th will refine wind and humidity details that could nudge the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Обсяг
$146Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C for Cape Town on September 21, driven by persistent clear skies, light south-easterly winds, and above-average warmth extending from the current spell. This positions the 20°C-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 49% implied probability, well above the September climatological average low of roughly 9–11°C. Model consensus shows limited overnight cooling under stable high pressure, with daytime peaks reaching 25–28°C. Key upcoming updates from official agencies on the 20th will refine wind and humidity details that could nudge the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$146Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C for Cape Town on September 21, driven by persistent clear skies, light south-easterly winds, and above-average warmth extending from the current spell. This positions the 20°C-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 49% implied probability, well above the September climatological average low of roughly 9–11°C. Model consensus shows limited overnight cooling under stable high pressure, with daytime peaks reaching 25–28°C. Key upcoming updates from official agencies on the 20th will refine wind and humidity details that could nudge the final minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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