High pressure from a subtropical anticyclone over southern China is sustaining clear to partly sunny skies and strong daytime heating across Hong Kong, driving market-implied odds toward a 31–33 °C peak on 20 September. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–32 °C range with low rain probability early in the day, though localized afternoon showers could limit insolation and cap the maximum. Light easterly winds and moderate humidity (55–90 %) will modulate boundary-layer mixing and evaporative cooling, while model consensus on shower timing and coverage introduces the narrow spread between the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations tomorrow morning will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
32°C 39%
33°C 30%
31°C 21%
30°C 3%
НОВЕ
$16,429 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,429 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
21%
32°C
39%
33°C
30%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 39%
33°C 30%
31°C 21%
30°C 3%
НОВЕ
$16,429 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,429 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
26°C or below
$261 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$513 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$1,409 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$387 Обс.
1%
30°C
$1,843 Обс.
3%
31°C
$2,476 Обс.
21%
32°C
$2,533 Обс.
39%
33°C
$5,251 Обс.
30%
34°C
$638 Обс.
3%
35°C
$402 Обс.
<1%
36°C or higher
$717 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.High pressure from a subtropical anticyclone over southern China is sustaining clear to partly sunny skies and strong daytime heating across Hong Kong, driving market-implied odds toward a 31–33 °C peak on 20 September. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–32 °C range with low rain probability early in the day, though localized afternoon showers could limit insolation and cap the maximum. Light easterly winds and moderate humidity (55–90 %) will modulate boundary-layer mixing and evaporative cooling, while model consensus on shower timing and coverage introduces the narrow spread between the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations tomorrow morning will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$16,429Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.High pressure from a subtropical anticyclone over southern China is sustaining clear to partly sunny skies and strong daytime heating across Hong Kong, driving market-implied odds toward a 31–33 °C peak on 20 September. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–32 °C range with low rain probability early in the day, though localized afternoon showers could limit insolation and cap the maximum. Light easterly winds and moderate humidity (55–90 %) will modulate boundary-layer mixing and evaporative cooling, while model consensus on shower timing and coverage introduces the narrow spread between the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations tomorrow morning will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$16,429Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...High pressure from a subtropical anticyclone over southern China is sustaining clear to partly sunny skies and strong daytime heating across Hong Kong, driving market-implied odds toward a 31–33 °C peak on 20 September. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–32 °C range with low rain probability early in the day, though localized afternoon showers could limit insolation and cap the maximum. Light easterly winds and moderate humidity (55–90 %) will modulate boundary-layer mixing and evaporative cooling, while model consensus on shower timing and coverage introduces the narrow spread between the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations tomorrow morning will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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