Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus for South Florida point to persistently warm overnight conditions on August 9, driven by high humidity, elevated sea-surface temperatures, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These factors typically keep Miami's minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s during mid-August, with urban heat-island effects and weak steering patterns further suppressing typical nocturnal drops. Current forecasts align closely with the market's heaviest volume on 80–83 °F outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of near-term atmospheric stability rather than any anomalous cold-air intrusion. Updated model runs and morning observations remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on August 9?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 9?
82-83°F 35%
80-81°F 32%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 35%
80-81°F 32%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
71°F or below
$17 Обс.
1%
72-73°F
$5 Обс.
2%
74-75°F
$21 Обс.
2%
76-77°F
$12 Обс.
5%
78-79°F
$33 Обс.
14%
80-81°F
$48 Обс.
32%
82-83°F
$110 Обс.
35%
84-85°F
$104 Обс.
16%
86-87°F
$8 Обс.
5%
88-89°F
$212 Обс.
1%
90°F or higher
$382 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus for South Florida point to persistently warm overnight conditions on August 9, driven by high humidity, elevated sea-surface temperatures, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These factors typically keep Miami's minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s during mid-August, with urban heat-island effects and weak steering patterns further suppressing typical nocturnal drops. Current forecasts align closely with the market's heaviest volume on 80–83 °F outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of near-term atmospheric stability rather than any anomalous cold-air intrusion. Updated model runs and morning observations remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$952Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus for South Florida point to persistently warm overnight conditions on August 9, driven by high humidity, elevated sea-surface temperatures, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These factors typically keep Miami's minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s during mid-August, with urban heat-island effects and weak steering patterns further suppressing typical nocturnal drops. Current forecasts align closely with the market's heaviest volume on 80–83 °F outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of near-term atmospheric stability rather than any anomalous cold-air intrusion. Updated model runs and morning observations remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$952Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus for South Florida point to persistently warm overnight conditions on August 9, driven by high humidity, elevated sea-surface temperatures, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These factors typically keep Miami's minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s during mid-August, with urban heat-island effects and weak steering patterns further suppressing typical nocturnal drops. Current forecasts align closely with the market's heaviest volume on 80–83 °F outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of near-term atmospheric stability rather than any anomalous cold-air intrusion. Updated model runs and morning observations remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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