Republican Ralph Alvarado holds a clear edge in Kentucky’s open 6th congressional district, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and Alvarado’s primary victory with Trump endorsement. The district backed the GOP nominee by double digits in recent cycles, and forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican. Recent internal polling has narrowed the gap, with a July DCCC survey showing a 47-47 tie between Alvarado and Democrat Zach Dembo and an earlier GQR poll giving Alvarado a narrow 42-39 lead. Dembo benefits from unified Democratic support, including Gov. Andy Beshear’s endorsement, and strong name recognition in the Lexington area. Traders appear to weigh the district’s structural Republican advantage against polling volatility and the open-seat dynamic ahead of the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKY-06 House Election Winner
KY-06 House Election Winner
$33,635 Обс.
$33,635 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
27%
$33,635 Обс.
$33,635 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$14,395 Обс.
75%
Democratic Party
$19,240 Обс.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Ralph Alvarado holds a clear edge in Kentucky’s open 6th congressional district, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and Alvarado’s primary victory with Trump endorsement. The district backed the GOP nominee by double digits in recent cycles, and forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican. Recent internal polling has narrowed the gap, with a July DCCC survey showing a 47-47 tie between Alvarado and Democrat Zach Dembo and an earlier GQR poll giving Alvarado a narrow 42-39 lead. Dembo benefits from unified Democratic support, including Gov. Andy Beshear’s endorsement, and strong name recognition in the Lexington area. Traders appear to weigh the district’s structural Republican advantage against polling volatility and the open-seat dynamic ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$33,635Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Ralph Alvarado holds a clear edge in Kentucky’s open 6th congressional district, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and Alvarado’s primary victory with Trump endorsement. The district backed the GOP nominee by double digits in recent cycles, and forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican. Recent internal polling has narrowed the gap, with a July DCCC survey showing a 47-47 tie between Alvarado and Democrat Zach Dembo and an earlier GQR poll giving Alvarado a narrow 42-39 lead. Dembo benefits from unified Democratic support, including Gov. Andy Beshear’s endorsement, and strong name recognition in the Lexington area. Traders appear to weigh the district’s structural Republican advantage against polling volatility and the open-seat dynamic ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$33,635Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Ralph Alvarado holds a clear edge in Kentucky’s open 6th congressional district, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and Alvarado’s primary victory with Trump endorsement. The district backed the GOP nominee by double digits in recent cycles, and forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican. Recent internal polling has narrowed the gap, with a July DCCC survey showing a 47-47 tie between Alvarado and Democrat Zach Dembo and an earlier GQR poll giving Alvarado a narrow 42-39 lead. Dembo benefits from unified Democratic support, including Gov. Andy Beshear’s endorsement, and strong name recognition in the Lexington area. Traders appear to weigh the district’s structural Republican advantage against polling volatility and the open-seat dynamic ahead of the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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