**IAEA access to Iran’s key enrichment sites at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz remains blocked since the June 2025 strikes and subsequent February 2026 attacks, with the agency unable to verify highly enriched uranium stockpiles or facility status at those locations.** A June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding explicitly references IAEA supervision of nuclear activities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections of the enrichment sites “will indeed take place” and that the agency is working on modalities, dates, and procedures. Iranian officials have countered that access to bombed facilities and nuclear material depends on a final agreement and sanctions relief, with no current plans for such visits. Limited IAEA activities continue at unaffected sites such as Bushehr, but the three primary enrichment complexes stay off-limits amid ongoing bilateral talks. Any near-term visits hinge on progress in implementing the interim framework and resolving Tehran’s stated conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
$363,800 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
August 31
1%
October 31
6%
December 31
13%
$363,800 Обс.
August 31
$57,346 Обс.
1%
October 31
$80,745 Обс.
6%
December 31
$32,385 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.**IAEA access to Iran’s key enrichment sites at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz remains blocked since the June 2025 strikes and subsequent February 2026 attacks, with the agency unable to verify highly enriched uranium stockpiles or facility status at those locations.** A June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding explicitly references IAEA supervision of nuclear activities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections of the enrichment sites “will indeed take place” and that the agency is working on modalities, dates, and procedures. Iranian officials have countered that access to bombed facilities and nuclear material depends on a final agreement and sanctions relief, with no current plans for such visits. Limited IAEA activities continue at unaffected sites such as Bushehr, but the three primary enrichment complexes stay off-limits amid ongoing bilateral talks. Any near-term visits hinge on progress in implementing the interim framework and resolving Tehran’s stated conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Обсяг
$363,800Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.**IAEA access to Iran’s key enrichment sites at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz remains blocked since the June 2025 strikes and subsequent February 2026 attacks, with the agency unable to verify highly enriched uranium stockpiles or facility status at those locations.** A June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding explicitly references IAEA supervision of nuclear activities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections of the enrichment sites “will indeed take place” and that the agency is working on modalities, dates, and procedures. Iranian officials have countered that access to bombed facilities and nuclear material depends on a final agreement and sanctions relief, with no current plans for such visits. Limited IAEA activities continue at unaffected sites such as Bushehr, but the three primary enrichment complexes stay off-limits amid ongoing bilateral talks. Any near-term visits hinge on progress in implementing the interim framework and resolving Tehran’s stated conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$363,800Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**IAEA access to Iran’s key enrichment sites at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz remains blocked since the June 2025 strikes and subsequent February 2026 attacks, with the agency unable to verify highly enriched uranium stockpiles or facility status at those locations.** A June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding explicitly references IAEA supervision of nuclear activities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections of the enrichment sites “will indeed take place” and that the agency is working on modalities, dates, and procedures. Iranian officials have countered that access to bombed facilities and nuclear material depends on a final agreement and sanctions relief, with no current plans for such visits. Limited IAEA activities continue at unaffected sites such as Bushehr, but the three primary enrichment complexes stay off-limits amid ongoing bilateral talks. Any near-term visits hinge on progress in implementing the interim framework and resolving Tehran’s stated conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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