The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes a collective-defense framework under which an armed attack on one signatory is treated as an attack on all, while promoting broader military and strategic cooperation. Turkish officials have publicly identified Egypt as a leading candidate for accession, citing existing ties and describing it as a “natural partner” once technical details are resolved, which aligns with Egypt’s highest implied probability among listed countries. Other Gulf states such as Qatar and Kuwait have been mentioned in diplomatic commentary as potential participants, though no formal accession talks or protocols have been confirmed. The pact’s openness to “brotherly” countries and the short window until the December 31, 2026, resolution date leave room for additional diplomatic movement, but current trader pricing reflects limited concrete progress beyond the initial three signatories.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

October 31
52%

December 31
54%
$0.00 Обс.

October 31
52%

December 31
54%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, or Pakistan formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and any country reported to have joined; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, or Pakistan formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and any country reported to have joined; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes a collective-defense framework under which an armed attack on one signatory is treated as an attack on all, while promoting broader military and strategic cooperation. Turkish officials have publicly identified Egypt as a leading candidate for accession, citing existing ties and describing it as a “natural partner” once technical details are resolved, which aligns with Egypt’s highest implied probability among listed countries. Other Gulf states such as Qatar and Kuwait have been mentioned in diplomatic commentary as potential participants, though no formal accession talks or protocols have been confirmed. The pact’s openness to “brotherly” countries and the short window until the December 31, 2026, resolution date leave room for additional diplomatic movement, but current trader pricing reflects limited concrete progress beyond the initial three signatories.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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