Skip to main content

Щоб торгувати в США, перейдіть на polymarket.us

icon for Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

icon for Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

Oct 31

Jan 1, 2027

Oct 31

Jan 1, 2027

8% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
8% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Howard Lutnick has served as Secretary of Commerce since his February 2025 Senate confirmation on a 51-45 vote and remains in the role as of early September 2026, actively managing tariff policy, semiconductor manufacturing initiatives, AI export controls, and international trade talks including recent G20 engagements. President Trump has publicly backed Lutnick through prior controversies, including May 2026 House Oversight questioning over Epstein-related disclosures, with no subsequent announcements of resignation, firing, or cabinet reshuffle. Democratic calls for his departure produced no bipartisan momentum or procedural action, while Lutnick continues executing administration priorities on trade and investment without reported internal pressure or scheduled transition timelines that would align with an October 31 departure. Trader consensus reflects the absence of verifiable catalysts for removal in the near term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Oct 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 9:28 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Howard Lutnick has served as Secretary of Commerce since his February 2025 Senate confirmation on a 51-45 vote and remains in the role as of early September 2026, actively managing tariff policy, semiconductor manufacturing initiatives, AI export controls, and international trade talks including recent G20 engagements. President Trump has publicly backed Lutnick through prior controversies, including May 2026 House Oversight questioning over Epstein-related disclosures, with no subsequent announcements of resignation, firing, or cabinet reshuffle. Democratic calls for his departure produced no bipartisan momentum or procedural action, while Lutnick continues executing administration priorities on trade and investment without reported internal pressure or scheduled transition timelines that would align with an October 31 departure. Trader consensus reflects the absence of verifiable catalysts for removal in the near term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Oct 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 9:28 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 8% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 8¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 8%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Sep 3, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?» — 8% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 8% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.